TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitano

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stefano Napolitanoof Luka Pavlovic, Stefano Napolitano
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6aee…fad4backed Stefano Napolitano65c16,474$10,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,689.5524557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Luka Pavlovic30c14,710$4,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,454.588,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Stefano Napolitano73c13,439$9,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,658.667,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Stefano Napolitano59c13,008$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,358.114757.1%84 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed Stefano Napolitano55c9,739$5,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,382.368151.9%42 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+133.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Luka Pavlovic45c5,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24013450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfded…312cbacked Luka Pavlovic41c3,559$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.062770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Luka Pavlovic25c3,317$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.176,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Luka Pavlovic10c3,284$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.371,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Stefano Napolitano60c3,253$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.3360053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Luka Pavlovic16c2,155$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.958,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79bf…0de5backed Luka Pavlovic41c2,107$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.87837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Luka Pavlovic44c2,002$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.8628141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Luka Pavlovic41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82058734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5eb…9120backed Luka Pavlovic45c2,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Luka Pavlovic16c1,978$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.742,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Stefano Napolitano78c1,834$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.7746473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Luka Pavlovic43c1,535$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.226545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Luka Pavlovic42c1,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6254,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Luka Pavlovic26c1,494$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1719851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Luka Pavlovic9c1,489$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.34,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Luka Pavlovic21c1,417$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9712235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Stefano Napolitano56c1,300$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57226045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Stefano Napolitano74c1,250$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32510543.8%46 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Stefano Napolitano55c1,212$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.771,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Stefano Napolitano75c1,165$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.1736554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Luka Pavlovic43c1,111$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.0550442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Luka Pavlovic39c1,111$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.653,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Luka Pavlovic49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5399750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Luka Pavlovic42c1,088$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.497,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Luka Pavlovic20c1,046$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.685,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Stefano Napolitano51c1,009$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.3829952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c6…b50bbacked Luka Pavlovic44c1,001$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.448946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Luka Pavlovic45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Luka Pavlovic45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45039534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed Luka Pavlovic41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Luka Pavlovic45c999.98$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.994850%24 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Luka Pavlovic1c984.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3710829.6%32 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Luka Pavlovic9c946.33$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.771,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Luka Pavlovic42c906.61$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.722,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Stefano Napolitano55c890.79$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.4152460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe22…b709backed Stefano Napolitano65c889.69$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.3912656.3%71 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Luka Pavlovic25c876.14$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.3240548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Luka Pavlovic44c816.98$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.837,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fd…7fefbacked Luka Pavlovic8c811.83$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.795644.6%25 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Luka Pavlovic35c739.45$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.72,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Luka Pavlovic42c700.92$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.399949.5%49 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Stefano Napolitano55c688.09$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.4368350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Luka Pavlovic45c626.2$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.797943%34 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Luka Pavlovic34c527.86$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.564,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Luka Pavlovic41c488.58$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.011,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Luka Pavlovic21c485.38$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.291,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Luka Pavlovic4c477.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9627040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Luka Pavlovic28c470.23$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8365952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Luka Pavlovic19c454.48$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8118459.8%110 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Luka Pavlovic44c439.25$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.279135.2%32 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Stefano Napolitano72c424.14$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9811462.3%71 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Luka Pavlovic32c408.63$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7670729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0cc…275cbacked Luka Pavlovic27c354.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.627732.5%25 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Luka Pavlovic23c338$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb602…1991backed Luka Pavlovic34c337.64$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.461414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-80.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Luka Pavlovic18c329$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.792,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Luka Pavlovic28c323.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1248453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6090…06e0backed Luka Pavlovic46c320.19$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.295549.1%27 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Luka Pavlovic42c303$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3195140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Luka Pavlovic27c286.28$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0550156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Stefano Napolitano73c252.07$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.441,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Luka Pavlovic45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Stefano Napolitano59c247.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.672,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Luka Pavlovic19c228.18$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.12,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Luka Pavlovic36c224.02$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2830530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Luka Pavlovic41c220$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.23461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Luka Pavlovic15c214.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6116645.2%75 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Luka Pavlovic20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Luka Pavlovic7c199$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.731,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Luka Pavlovic7c199$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7360355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Luka Pavlovic43c193.1$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.074351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Luka Pavlovic25c191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7561924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Stefano Napolitano58c190.6$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8935436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Luka Pavlovic38c183$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5438955.3%215 W · 174 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Stefano Napolitano62c178.83$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9546565.6%305 W · 160 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd141…205cbacked Luka Pavlovic8c177.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.179122%20 W · 71 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Luka Pavlovic6c172.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.919055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef6…c784backed Luka Pavlovic42c167.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.517643.8%77 W · 99 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Stefano Napolitano74c163.6$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.061,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf84b…6455backed Luka Pavlovic7c158.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.561217.4%9 W · 112 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Luka Pavlovic45c153.71$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.171,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Stefano Napolitano73c150.14$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Stefano Napolitano59c148.96$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0722352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Stefano Napolitano55c148.62$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6229230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Luka Pavlovic45c147.82$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5213641.9%57 W · 79 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Luka Pavlovic27c147.21$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.012,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Stefano Napolitano79c142.84$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3356754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Luka Pavlovic42c137.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.683836.8%14 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Stefano Napolitano54c137.11$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.071,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Stefano Napolitano54c135.05$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.121,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Luka Pavlovic42c132.25$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.831,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Stefano Napolitano68c130.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0586470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Luka Pavlovic45c128.93$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0230853.6%165 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df2…c11dbacked Stefano Napolitano69c117.72$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.545552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.