TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf93d…fc9b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
249
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT22352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 223 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heidebacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$296.67
Augsburg: Matthew William Donald vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$959.14
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,300
Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,047Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,279.98
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernetbacked Henry Bernet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.7
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navonebacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$326.36
Todi: Maxim Mrva vs Alex Barrenabacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.1
Hamburg: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$432.41
Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanovbacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$205.54
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Sergey Fominbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$313.79
Cincinnati Open: Titouan Droguet vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.47
Astana: Khumoun Sultanov vs Mert Alkayabacked Mert Alkaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.33
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$172.74
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinkabacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.33
Hagen: Lorenzo Giustino vs Jerome Kymbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$229.86
National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,182.65
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Michael Mmohbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$345.9
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$700.72
Hagen: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Henri Squirebacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$86.24
Lexington: Henry Searle vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$259.87
Lexington: Felix Gill vs Borna Gojobacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.6
Hagen: Alex Barrena vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$920.37
Liberec: Norbert Gombos vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.9
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Sumit Nagalbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$126.78
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.02
Showing 25 of 223 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,169.61
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$123.16
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$304.44
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420.63
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.26
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$566.67
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$785.71
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$775
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,762.82
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,770.47
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.51
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$408.05
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$298.51
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$755.54
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$103.21
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$333.01
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$104.61
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$167.65
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$481.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$526.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.