Tennis · resolved market
Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bc861ea28e5dcb748a358d222ab93b65b4579e2585f31a7619dd97cba1356a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hayato Matsuokaof Hayato Matsuoka, Khumoun Sultanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $384,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $407,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hayato Matsuoka | 45c | 48,123$21,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,420.34 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Khumoun Sultanov | 45c | 27,944$12,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,666.18 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Khumoun Sultanov | 47c | 25,912$12,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,244.39 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 60c | 10,917$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,417.43 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Hayato Matsuoka | 50c | 10,695$5,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.99 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Khumoun Sultanov | 44c | 10,362$4,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.71 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Hayato Matsuoka | 41c | 8,537$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,036.59 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Hayato Matsuoka | 58c | 6,008$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.38 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f6…4488backed Hayato Matsuoka | 47c | 5,536$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.75 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Hayato Matsuoka | 53c | 5,317$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.82 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hayato Matsuoka | 43c | 4,340$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.87 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Hayato Matsuoka | 38c | 3,453$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.9 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hayato Matsuoka | 68c | 3,287$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.32 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hayato Matsuoka | 45c | 2,600$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.97 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Khumoun Sultanov | 41c | 2,438$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…20c0backed Khumoun Sultanov | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 45c | 2,268$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.11 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hayato Matsuoka | 40c | 2,248$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 41c | 2,062$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.27 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 56c | 2,026$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.5 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…d417backed Hayato Matsuoka | 31c | 2,022$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Khumoun Sultanov | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hayato Matsuoka | 44c | 1,972$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.96 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Khumoun Sultanov | 40c | 1,833$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.04 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…4715backed Khumoun Sultanov | 78c | 1,784$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Hayato Matsuoka | 31c | 1,779$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.98 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 54c | 1,684$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.63 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Khumoun Sultanov | 49c | 1,570$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.54 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 1,525$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.42 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Khumoun Sultanov | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Khumoun Sultanov | 50c | 1,447$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.12 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Hayato Matsuoka | 56c | 1,434$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.02 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 38c | 1,389$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.25 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hayato Matsuoka | 43c | 1,182$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.63 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Hayato Matsuoka | 42c | 1,168$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.42 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Khumoun Sultanov | 4c | 1,131$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Hayato Matsuoka | 30c | 1,068$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.37 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Khumoun Sultanov | 8c | 1,046$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1a…bbb8backed Khumoun Sultanov | 44c | 1,042$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.5 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Khumoun Sultanov | 42c | 1,024$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Khumoun Sultanov | 49c | 990$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.74 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Khumoun Sultanov | 41c | 975.6$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Khumoun Sultanov | 73c | 945.2$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.57 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Khumoun Sultanov | 61c | 941.23$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.29 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Hayato Matsuoka | 53c | 930.74$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.38 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…e2d6backed Khumoun Sultanov | 43c | 909.63$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Hayato Matsuoka | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…fb67backed Hayato Matsuoka | 31c | 856.61$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.06 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Khumoun Sultanov | 77c | 842.19$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Hayato Matsuoka | 46c | 830.95$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.11 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Hayato Matsuoka | 30c | 828.21$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.68 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Hayato Matsuoka | 51c | 783.41$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.73 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Hayato Matsuoka | 38c | 742.12$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.12 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Khumoun Sultanov | 49c | 740.57$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.95 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Hayato Matsuoka | 45c | 727.27$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.07 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Khumoun Sultanov | 69c | 724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Khumoun Sultanov | 67c | 711.74$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.94 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Khumoun Sultanov | 41c | 694.58$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.08 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Hayato Matsuoka | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 45c | 666.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Khumoun Sultanov | 29c | 644.36$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.69 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Khumoun Sultanov | 47c | 599.97$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.98 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…5fa9backed Khumoun Sultanov | 39c | 592.33$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.49 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…fc9bbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 61c | 522.79$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.54 | 223 | 52%116 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 41c | 519.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.89 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Khumoun Sultanov | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Khumoun Sultanov | 59c | 515.89$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.71 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 510$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.09 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hayato Matsuoka | 76c | 507.03$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 61c | 505.53$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.89 | 281 | 54.8%154 W · 127 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Khumoun Sultanov | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 46c | 486.53$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.07 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 41c | 480.59$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.04 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Khumoun Sultanov | 55c | 449.95$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.93 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Khumoun Sultanov | 40c | 448.93$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Khumoun Sultanov | 47c | 438.27$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Khumoun Sultanov | 45c | 436.36$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0332…4f0dbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 46c | 435.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Hayato Matsuoka | 55c | 429.02$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.02 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Hayato Matsuoka | 33c | 423.71$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.46 | 306 | 25.8%79 W · 227 L | -28.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…dd03backed Khumoun Sultanov | 71c | 423.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…2e6bbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 57c | 423.09$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.93 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Hayato Matsuoka | 41c | 405.73$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.94 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 48c | 400.13$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.91 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Hayato Matsuoka | 50c | 400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 46c | 394.44$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.7 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 3c | 390$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 213 | 17.4%37 W · 176 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 44c | 383.76$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.31 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed Hayato Matsuoka | 35c | 354$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…8fd9backed Hayato Matsuoka | 50c | 351.21$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.21 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 341.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.72 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…9014backed Hayato Matsuoka | 62c | 322.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Khumoun Sultanov | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Hayato Matsuoka | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Khumoun Sultanov | 42c | 297.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Hayato Matsuoka | 49c | 293.7$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.86 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb10…5080backed Hayato Matsuoka | 63c | 276.33$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Khumoun Sultanov | 42c | 262.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanovthis page
- Astana: Completed Match: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun SultanovYes won
- Set Handicap: Matsuoka (-1.5) vs Sultanov (+1.5)Sultanov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.