TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x524c…20c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Cricket at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT9053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Emma Navarro vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,691Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,690.53
Cincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$759
Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Daybacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,819Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,602.58
Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanovbacked Khumoun Sultanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Sergey Fominbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,511.12
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$428.57
Cincinnati Open: J.J. Wolf vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,217.33
Brownsburg: Daniel Milavsky vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,114.59
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$681
Astana: Khumoun Sultanov vs Mert Alkayabacked Khumoun Sultanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$283.16
Hamburg: Carlos Taberner vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$705.4
Hamburg: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Dylan Dietrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.73
ITF W50 Hamburg Women: Anna Siskova vs Merel Hoedtbacked Merel Hoedt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$912Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$912.14
Astana: Fajing Sun vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$619.4
Brownsburg: Gauthier Onclin vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,823Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,070.65
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$887.67
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$479.49
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Isis Louise Van Den Broek vs Matilde Jorgebacked Matilde Jorge · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,368Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$586.17
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Mark Lajalbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.77
Lexington: Edas Butvilas vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$946.11
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,493Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,342.55
National Bank Open (Doubles): Marozsan/Medvedev vs Nys/Roger-Vasselinbacked Marozsan/Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,618Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$923.32
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$829Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$661.4
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Chiefsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,409Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$1,587.36
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$858.06
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$841Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$841
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.79
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.28
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$344.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,543Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,164.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,473.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.