TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hamburg: Carlos Taberner vs Jan Kumstat

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jan Kumstatof Carlos Taberner, Jan Kumstat
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$245,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$267,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2978…b511backed Carlos Taberner23c33,260$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,70042332.4%137 W · 286 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Carlos Taberner40c14,909$5,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,980.2661152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0210…4debbacked Jan Kumstat59c14,405$8,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,843.065360.4%32 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Jan Kumstat64c14,346$9,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,201.1825144.6%112 W · 139 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jan Kumstat74c11,099$8,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.198,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Carlos Taberner28c11,019$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10031253.2%166 W · 146 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jan Kumstat69c8,683$6,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.598,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Carlos Taberner46c7,547$3,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.1917148%82 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Jan Kumstat74c6,746$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.156,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Carlos Taberner47c6,032$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.1962956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Carlos Taberner22c5,393$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.7271729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Jan Kumstat65c5,063$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.123,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Carlos Taberner41c4,349$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80027254.4%148 W · 124 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Carlos Taberner42c4,254$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80027653.6%148 W · 128 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Jan Kumstat76c3,869$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.1245343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jan Kumstat78c3,770$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.288,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Jan Kumstat76c3,493$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.581,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed Jan Kumstat68c3,489$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.1918261.5%112 W · 70 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5455…8b2abacked Jan Kumstat66c3,088$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.3313239.4%52 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Jan Kumstat76c2,939$2,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.163,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Jan Kumstat59c2,513$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.3430440.5%123 W · 181 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9fa…5fa9backed Carlos Taberner12c2,510$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.25532.7%18 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jan Kumstat74c2,241$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.554,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Carlos Taberner42c2,122$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Carlos Taberner42c2,099$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.613164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd403…a817backed Carlos Taberner2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40500%0 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Jan Kumstat58c2,000$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.53,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked Jan Kumstat58c1,903$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.7310730.8%33 W · 74 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…20c0backed Jan Kumstat58c1,680$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.49053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Carlos Taberner15c1,621$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.531,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…5269backed Carlos Taberner43c1,573$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.58933.7%30 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Carlos Taberner37c1,496$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.529,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa50f…8e6fbacked Jan Kumstat54c1,444$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.14938.8%19 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Carlos Taberner36c1,433$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.284,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Jan Kumstat71c1,358$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.6662140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Carlos Taberner30c1,329$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.1230147.5%143 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Carlos Taberner20c1,268$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.671,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Carlos Taberner30c1,267$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.131,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Carlos Taberner6c1,231$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8544729.3%131 W · 316 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed Jan Kumstat72c1,215$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.24254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Jan Kumstat65c1,200$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.370254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bbb…0ac2backed Carlos Taberner5c1,200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608441.7%35 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec21…33dcbacked Carlos Taberner5c1,169$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.453729.7%11 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Carlos Taberner42c1,094$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.8992237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Carlos Taberner5c1,093$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99543.7%2 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed Jan Kumstat57c1,053$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.623737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Carlos Taberner30c1,034$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.156,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Carlos Taberner42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010937.6%41 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Jan Kumstat73c868.96$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.7115236.2%55 W · 97 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Jan Kumstat74c868.71$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8136946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Carlos Taberner41c799.49$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.791,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Jan Kumstat78c751.97$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9195050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Jan Kumstat72c731.61$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0588358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Carlos Taberner41c726.98$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.837,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Carlos Taberner21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15051933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Jan Kumstat77c652.1$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.292,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jan Kumstat60c647.25$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.932,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Carlos Taberner5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013438.8%52 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Carlos Taberner40c559.65$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.141,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e0…8573backed Jan Kumstat61c533.36$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.017058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Jan Kumstat58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.241,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Carlos Taberner23c512.89$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0891051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4890…03f1backed Carlos Taberner19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959916.2%16 W · 83 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf353…692abacked Jan Kumstat61c493.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.718148.1%39 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Carlos Taberner41c493.52$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.531,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Carlos Taberner22c491$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.274,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Jan Kumstat57c471.78$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.361,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7618…24c6backed Carlos Taberner22c429.27$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.445135.3%18 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Jan Kumstat74c416.91$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.084,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Carlos Taberner41c400.93$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3825542%107 W · 148 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Jan Kumstat59c399.99$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16426049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Jan Kumstat76c383.82$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.081,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Carlos Taberner41c380.22$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5352847%248 W · 280 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc196…2e6bbacked Jan Kumstat57c374.94$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2212339%48 W · 75 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…9256backed Carlos Taberner28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8925448.4%123 W · 131 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Jan Kumstat65c351.11$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.114151.1%72 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Carlos Taberner5c309.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.511540%46 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Jan Kumstat76c307.45$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.295,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Carlos Taberner43c304.67$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0124936.5%91 W · 158 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Carlos Taberner41c298.17$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2525546.7%119 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Carlos Taberner16c287$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.137645.7%172 W · 204 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…3a93backed Jan Kumstat70c285.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5916045.6%73 W · 87 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Carlos Taberner18c285.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032747.7%156 W · 171 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Jan Kumstat76c282.76$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8672147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Carlos Taberner21c277.72$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.14,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Carlos Taberner24c259.12$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.511,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Jan Kumstat58c251.6$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6744751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Carlos Taberner43c251.26$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1930642.2%129 W · 177 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b20…8eafbacked Jan Kumstat80c242.17$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.439761.9%60 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Carlos Taberner25c230$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.514656.2%82 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Carlos Taberner7c229.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0885449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Carlos Taberner39c217.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0927744.4%123 W · 154 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Carlos Taberner31c206.45$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Carlos Taberner5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107245.8%33 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Carlos Taberner5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014047.1%66 W · 74 L+13.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Carlos Taberner22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4430647.7%146 W · 160 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4041…60f0backed Carlos Taberner5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108530.6%26 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Carlos Taberner5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010632.1%34 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Carlos Taberner30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed Jan Kumstat60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.