NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Steelers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11f7a7f4b47f3f1af8518b3632451503b2f6fa2fb2540dc6b576589ae6726b72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Steelersof Packers, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58ef…8c58backed Steelers | 38c | 17,253$6,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,685.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Packers | 62c | 16,649$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,249.57 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Packers | 2c | 12,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Packers | 28c | 10,870$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Packers | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Packers | 18c | 8,797$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.18 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Steelers | 41c | 7,670$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,525.57 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Packers | 60c | 7,500$4,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,485 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Steelers | 45c | 6,011$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.41 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Steelers | 35c | 6,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Packers | 21c | 3,163$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.77 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Packers | 50c | 3,124$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.41 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Steelers | 50c | 2,839$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.01 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Steelers | 56c | 2,556$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.15 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Steelers | 64c | 2,413$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.97 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Packers | 23c | 2,093$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.67 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Packers | 3c | 2,043$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Steelers | 73c | 1,928$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.57 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Steelers | 78c | 1,858$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.38 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Steelers | 58c | 1,817$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…4797backed Steelers | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Steelers | 49c | 1,743$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Packers | 59c | 1,514$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.55 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked Steelers | 43c | 1,448$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed Steelers | 68c | 1,358$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…20c0backed Packers | 62c | 1,347$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Packers | 43c | 1,300$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Packers | 58c | 1,106$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.37 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Packers | 46c | 999.97$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.45 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Packers | 57c | 985$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.45 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Steelers | 41c | 948.28$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.49 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Steelers | 41c | 822.95$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.42 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Steelers | 52c | 793$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.5 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…68f7backed Packers | 59c | 767.69$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Packers | 46c | 712$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Packers | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Packers | 60c | 587.75$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…55d0backed Packers | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Packers | 56c | 500$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.32 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Steelers | 59c | 455.93$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…5323backed Steelers | 43c | 450.84$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Packers | 60c | 427.75$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Packers | 23c | 406.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Steelers | 52c | 406.3$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.02 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Packers | 38c | 389.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Steelers | 51c | 356.13$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.27 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Steelers | 48c | 355.94$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.72 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2385…b8e9backed Packers | 3c | 346.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Steelers | 51c | 341.71$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Steelers | 51c | 333.64$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.31 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Steelers | 57c | 327.6$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Packers | 50c | 316.1$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.97 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Packers | 31c | 313.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Steelers | 55c | 298.3$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Steelers | 53c | 286.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Steelers | 48c | 268.85$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.85 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…11b4backed Packers | 61c | 251.61$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Steelers | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…f266backed Packers | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Packers | 58c | 238$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Steelers | 69c | 222.45$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c5…0322backed Steelers | 45c | 217.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Packers | 33c | 189.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Steelers | 41c | 175.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Steelers | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Steelers | 41c | 166$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Packers | 18c | 157.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Steelers | 76c | 157.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb33c…97b3backed Steelers | 43c | 147$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…dbfdbacked Packers | 43c | 139.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Steelers | 74c | 139.03$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…dd03backed Packers | 56c | 136.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Packers | 59c | 132.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Steelers | 78c | 122.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Steelers | 39c | 120.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Steelers | 57c | 119.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…e333backed Steelers | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf321…4524backed Steelers | 42c | 116.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Packers | 59c | 107$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Packers | 51c | 106.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Steelers | 41c | 102$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 207 | 60.9%126 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Packers | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Steelers | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Steelers | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Steelers | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d1debacked Steelers | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Packers | 54c | 93.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Steelers | 54c | 93.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Steelers | 57c | 84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…8ad6backed Steelers | 41c | 82.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Packers | 44c | 82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…6033backed Steelers | 43c | 81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Steelers | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Packers | 66c | 75.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Packers | 36c | 71.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9de9backed Steelers | 42c | 68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Packers | 53c | 66.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…1aeabacked Steelers | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8be…ce5bbacked Steelers | 42c | 62.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Packers | 57c | 62.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers vs. Steelersthis page
- 1H Spread: Packers (-1.5)Steelers won
- GB vs. PIT: O/U 36.5Over won
- GB vs. PIT: O/U 37.5Under won
- GB vs. PIT: O/U 39.5Under won
- GB vs. PIT: O/U 40.5Under won
- Packers vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Spread: GB (-1.5)PIT won
- Spread: GB (-2.5)PIT won
- Spread: GB (-3.5)PIT won
- Spread: PIT (-1.5)PIT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.