Tennis · resolved market
ITF W50 Hamburg Women: Anna Siskova vs Merel Hoedt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8287a63310bb42bb08af56cf60314952fedd4d871f0e8cf00f56111d246d5499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anna Siskovaof Anna Siskova, Merel Hoedt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2978…b511backed Merel Hoedt | 20c | 17,481$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.67 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anna Siskova | 78c | 3,675$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.06 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…20c0backed Merel Hoedt | 28c | 3,229$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.14 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Merel Hoedt | 7c | 2,589$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.38 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f13abacked Merel Hoedt | 32c | 1,345$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.68 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Anna Siskova | 80c | 1,176$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.51 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Merel Hoedt | 12c | 1,067$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Anna Siskova | 71c | 750$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Merel Hoedt | 9c | 639.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Anna Siskova | 80c | 426.09$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Anna Siskova | 77c | 378.38$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Anna Siskova | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Anna Siskova | 71c | 191.65$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Anna Siskova | 74c | 186.87$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Anna Siskova | 79c | 158.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…ed7bbacked Merel Hoedt | 17c | 149.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2c…23d4backed Merel Hoedt | 7c | 142.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…c1b4backed Merel Hoedt | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…8254backed Merel Hoedt | 10c | 121.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Anna Siskova | 75c | 113.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Anna Siskova | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Anna Siskova | 78c | 90.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Anna Siskova | 73c | 87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Anna Siskova | 80c | 70.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Anna Siskova | 72c | 57.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Anna Siskova | 60c | 57.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Anna Siskova | 79c | 52.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Anna Siskova | 79c | 50.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6083…aa55backed Anna Siskova | 70c | 47.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Anna Siskova | 77c | 31.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Anna Siskova | 72c | 30.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Anna Siskova | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 257 | 68.9%177 W · 80 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Anna Siskova | 78c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Anna Siskova | 68c | 18.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Anna Siskova | 74c | 13.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.