TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cincinnati Open: J.J. Wolf vs James Duckworth

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
James Duckworthof J.J. Wolf, James Duckworth
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,435
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$282,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,435 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x772f…8145backed J.J. Wolf50c19,427$9,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,713.714365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed James Duckworth49c15,306$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,806.1273239.5%289 W · 443 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked J.J. Wolf61c15,000$9,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,149.8864455.3%356 W · 288 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21af…f272backed James Duckworth47c12,642$5,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,657.278353%44 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed J.J. Wolf31c10,938$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,409.418,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed James Duckworth51c8,347$4,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,131.83,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed J.J. Wolf12c8,254$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.411,14346.4%530 W · 613 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed James Duckworth39c7,500$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5754,07039.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L+92.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed James Duckworth51c6,185$3,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,025.9915348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fa…5fa9backed J.J. Wolf36c5,132$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.314632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed J.J. Wolf24c5,073$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22053942.1%227 W · 312 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed J.J. Wolf58c5,054$2,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,931.142,30451.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L+10.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked J.J. Wolf49c5,029$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.876,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed J.J. Wolf40c4,182$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.458,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a5…55d6backed J.J. Wolf29c4,000$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.841643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed James Duckworth39c3,782$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.731,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed James Duckworth42c3,750$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.941941.1%172 W · 247 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed James Duckworth70c2,781$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.35,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed J.J. Wolf48c2,725$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.9764753.9%349 W · 298 L+32.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea3…1bcfbacked J.J. Wolf17c2,455$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.73955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed James Duckworth69c2,365$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.088,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed J.J. Wolf44c2,349$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.732,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x524c…20c0backed James Duckworth45c2,213$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.339053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f8…894fbacked James Duckworth74c2,075$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed J.J. Wolf27c2,004$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.081963.2%12 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.27per pick36cpaid+111.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed James Duckworth74c1,900$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.232867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed James Duckworth60c1,845$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.261,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed James Duckworth40c1,579$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.3747842.5%203 W · 275 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed James Duckworth40c1,527$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.0243643.8%191 W · 245 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed James Duckworth48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65010757.9%62 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed James Duckworth42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.4813232.6%43 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed James Duckworth74c1,084$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.0131052.9%164 W · 146 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked J.J. Wolf31c1,082$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.181,76446.8%826 W · 938 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6170…f3fdbacked James Duckworth42c1,071$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.4327262.9%171 W · 101 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45e4…7e20backed James Duckworth39c982.2$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.1418348.1%88 W · 95 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed James Duckworth74c944.15$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.742,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae51…1d03backed James Duckworth76c942.86$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5115453.9%83 W · 71 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked James Duckworth76c937.57$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4772147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked J.J. Wolf59c840.14$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.231,69248.8%826 W · 866 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed James Duckworth48c818.53$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.8429840.9%122 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed J.J. Wolf60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48035139.6%139 W · 212 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed James Duckworth39c794.98$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.949347.3%44 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked James Duckworth74c752.34$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3448555.9%271 W · 214 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26eb…5369backed J.J. Wolf59c752.13$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.9413754%74 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed J.J. Wolf3c695.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8644018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed James Duckworth39c680.5$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.19844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed J.J. Wolf22c659.14$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0171725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed J.J. Wolf18c614.6$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3566830.5%204 W · 464 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed J.J. Wolf54c603.61$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.1434145.2%154 W · 187 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f9…d72ebacked James Duckworth46c593.48$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.486459.4%38 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed J.J. Wolf38c575.68$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.922,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked J.J. Wolf59c559.21$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.333,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed James Duckworth39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30535038.3%134 W · 216 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked J.J. Wolf25c499.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12545251.5%233 W · 219 L-21.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e54…e773backed J.J. Wolf44c491.56$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.46952.2%36 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed James Duckworth41c487$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.3344042.3%186 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3026…b347backed J.J. Wolf19c483.37$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0150%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed James Duckworth44c472.73$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.7324337%90 W · 153 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed J.J. Wolf3c471.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1353044.9%238 W · 292 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed James Duckworth44c454.25$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked James Duckworth72c449.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262552%13 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed J.J. Wolf22c439.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.840944.3%181 W · 228 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed J.J. Wolf25c439.92$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9819841.9%83 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc81…e889backed James Duckworth39c400.56$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.3417842.7%76 W · 102 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed J.J. Wolf60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24026049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed James Duckworth44c350$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19630339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed J.J. Wolf61c333.03$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1533558.5%196 W · 139 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed J.J. Wolf16c333$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9319131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked J.J. Wolf37c330.59$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.861,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed James Duckworth39c329.67$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.125042.4%106 W · 144 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed J.J. Wolf19c309.15$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.745736.8%21 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked J.J. Wolf21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6360042%252 W · 348 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38d…6735backed J.J. Wolf56c280.37$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.548741.4%36 W · 51 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd812…203fbacked J.J. Wolf56c280.37$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5410337.9%39 W · 64 L-10.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfed8…5339backed J.J. Wolf56c280.37$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5411238.4%43 W · 69 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfcd…e73fbacked J.J. Wolf56c280.37$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1910140.6%41 W · 60 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1429…b6babacked J.J. Wolf56c280.37$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.193743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x882e…e0a1backed J.J. Wolf56c277.15$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2911237.5%42 W · 70 L-11.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0f79backed J.J. Wolf56c277.15$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9813138.2%50 W · 81 L-16.5wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6f85…f9f5backed J.J. Wolf56c277.15$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9810739.3%42 W · 65 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66eb…a375backed J.J. Wolf56c277.15$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9810038%38 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81f9…d394backed J.J. Wolf56c277.15$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9812340.7%50 W · 73 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed J.J. Wolf44c272.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12066938.9%260 W · 409 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed J.J. Wolf61c270$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.750147.7%239 W · 262 L-15.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed J.J. Wolf59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15036744.4%163 W · 204 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe814…be87backed James Duckworth42c252.38$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.382245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed James Duckworth39c250.15$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5948847.1%230 W · 258 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed James Duckworth50c249.81$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.71,01336.5%370 W · 643 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked J.J. Wolf27c248.33$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.843423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4dd2…9014backed James Duckworth42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.110954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed J.J. Wolf46c228.52$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.422,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked J.J. Wolf57c228.07$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13090454.4%492 W · 412 L+3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed J.J. Wolf52c223$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.962,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed J.J. Wolf30c216.8$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6527943.4%121 W · 158 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked J.J. Wolf52c209.96$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1814555.9%81 W · 64 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa69…ff71backed J.J. Wolf24c208$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.48367.5%56 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed James Duckworth45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaba…a214backed James Duckworth75c199.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.511764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked J.J. Wolf33c193.69$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.971,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked James Duckworth74c189.88$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8813360.9%81 W · 52 L+0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.