TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,136,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,829,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,136,119 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 5,277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6754…e3bcbacked No74c2,285,643$1,685,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600,139.215456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No73c1,292,933$943,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349,091.8133538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c1,274,097$971,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303,080.124,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes27c1,101,829$296,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296,497.185322.6%12 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c973,330$87,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,299.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes27c600,000$159,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159,059.169142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes23c554,182$127,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127,602.212,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes26c511,730$135,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135,152.6938734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes17c325,279$56,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,255.779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes26c309,413$80,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,664.9919332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7011…c6dabacked Yes26c274,948$71,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,462.184949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x440a…035abacked Yes16c202,256$33,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,278.931414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-54.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes27c200,720$53,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,258.5365835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes10c200,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba7…f56bbacked Yes26c193,604$50,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,821.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c0d…c476backed Yes26c190,476$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes25c182,914$45,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,591.5617452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b2…257bbacked Yes4c165,121$6,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,213.091040%4 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+123.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Yes27c161,325$43,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,154.442714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes21c140,000$29,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,30021343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…3be4backed Yes0c114,800$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2871464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes26c108,374$27,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,653.532,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes26c101,915$26,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,755.052,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c100,000$73,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,754.941,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked No73c89,999$65,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,074.724252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e15…cfdbbacked Yes26c88,624$23,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,10660%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdb0…f8babacked No74c81,945$60,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,480.761384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde7…daa2backed Yes0c75,212$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x599a…7aa9backed Yes27c73,255$19,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,414.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Yes22c71,808$15,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,755.623941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No76c68,593$51,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,605.522,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes7c68,357$4,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,643.021,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No74c65,000$48,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,860.4834247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes26c61,700$16,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,346.211,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes27c60,018$15,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,904.698847.7%42 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b38…a92cbacked Yes0c60,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf6…4090backed Yes0c59,689$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.71513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Yes27c57,422$15,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,2284528.9%13 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Yes27c55,022$14,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,580.7466.5%3 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe462…1a2abacked Yes27c52,830$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,0007133.8%24 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes26c52,800$13,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,7287222.2%16 W · 56 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-40.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f45…180bbacked Yes6c52,099$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1002133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+74.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes26c50,000$13,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,1257114.1%10 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No73c50,000$36,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,499.8917842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed No73c49,999$36,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,374.8626447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes0c48,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes24c47,884$11,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,441.293321.2%7 W · 26 L-7.2wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No73c47,307$34,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,593.3650243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccd…861fbacked Yes2c47,007$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes26c47,001$12,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,283.9392732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No73c46,999$34,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,525.3348441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x870f…6da1backed Yes24c45,807$10,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,829.7422338.1%85 W · 138 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes22c45,601$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00070%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1b…8314backed Yes0c45,569$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x620d…c67fbacked Yes26c45,258$11,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,880.161136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c44,310$32,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,708.61,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf4b…5c8dbacked Yes0c44,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102913.8%4 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes24c43,798$10,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,406.9275729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc2…3f8cbacked No73c43,643$31,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,783.654100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1d…3721backed Yes6c43,638$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.982138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbb2…015abacked Yes27c43,067$11,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,520.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc18c…43c3backed Yes0c42,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick3cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf787…3c4ebacked Yes27c42,056$11,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,2501926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fc…a05ebacked Yes1c41,961$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-50.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes0c41,411$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.521468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes1c40,857$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015317%26 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9225…2ababacked Yes0c40,800$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Yes24c40,500$9,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,7209823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e15…4366backed Yes0c40,238$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a49…7d21backed Yes0c40,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+111.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8a…e818backed Yes0c40,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005322.6%12 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c35…298bbacked Yes0c40,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+255%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e8…b560backed Yes0c40,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013722.6%31 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…9e4fbacked Yes1c39,794$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.3540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6599…eb96backed Yes0c38,444$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10670%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No73c37,999$27,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,126.8547144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No73c37,970$27,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,111.747643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e0e…4503backed Yes0c37,720$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No73c37,600$27,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,022.8544144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…b180backed Yes27c37,037$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No77c36,950$28,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,545.5514542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b72…a286backed Yes0c36,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+391.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88f1…b325backed Yes26c35,810$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,400922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d9…1d15backed Yes16c35,727$5,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,654.341216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c34,383$25,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,094.243,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes26c34,286$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0005728.1%16 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No74c34,083$25,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,031.0633549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes26c33,916$8,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,738.2829916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c33,498$24,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,926.413,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3c…7f93backed Yes0c32,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick7cpaid+275.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes16c31,647$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004425%11 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Yes15c31,413$4,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,829.2837223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cfc…fa4abacked Yes0c31,270$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6f…6c5cbacked Yes27c30,247$8,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,015.412245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b98…b9e0backed Yes0c29,704$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No73c28,804$21,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,777.0229952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb4…b683backed Yes27c28,221$7,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,549.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…37cdbacked Yes14c28,167$3,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,961.564721.3%10 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a4…ed71backed Yes2c28,122$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.27616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-73.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No76c27,897$21,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,582.324441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.