Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c9ea0b1503b95b499975674aefdbd6c235f68885f2a812e97ca96016b207e43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,136,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,829,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,136,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked No | 74c | 2,285,643$1,685,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600,139.2 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 73c | 1,292,933$943,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349,091.81 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,274,097$971,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303,080.12 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 27c | 1,101,829$296,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296,497.18 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 973,330$87,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,299.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 27c | 600,000$159,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,059.16 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 554,182$127,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,602.21 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 26c | 511,730$135,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,152.69 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 17c | 325,279$56,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,255.7 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 26c | 309,413$80,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,664.99 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked Yes | 26c | 274,948$71,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,462.18 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…035abacked Yes | 16c | 202,256$33,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,278.93 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 27c | 200,720$53,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,258.53 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 10c | 200,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba7…f56bbacked Yes | 26c | 193,604$50,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,821.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0d…c476backed Yes | 26c | 190,476$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 25c | 182,914$45,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,591.56 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b2…257bbacked Yes | 4c | 165,121$6,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,213.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Yes | 27c | 161,325$43,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,154.44 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 21c | 140,000$29,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,300 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…3be4backed Yes | 0c | 114,800$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 26c | 108,374$27,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,653.53 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 26c | 101,915$26,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,755.05 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 100,000$73,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,754.94 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 73c | 89,999$65,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,074.72 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e15…cfdbbacked Yes | 26c | 88,624$23,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,106 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked No | 74c | 81,945$60,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,480.76 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…daa2backed Yes | 0c | 75,212$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…7aa9backed Yes | 27c | 73,255$19,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,414.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Yes | 22c | 71,808$15,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,755.62 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 76c | 68,593$51,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,605.52 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 7c | 68,357$4,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,643.02 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No | 74c | 65,000$48,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,860.48 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 26c | 61,700$16,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,346.21 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 27c | 60,018$15,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,904.69 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…a92cbacked Yes | 0c | 60,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…4090backed Yes | 0c | 59,689$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.7 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Yes | 27c | 57,422$15,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,228 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Yes | 27c | 55,022$14,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,580.7 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…1a2abacked Yes | 27c | 52,830$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 26c | 52,800$13,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,728 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 6c | 52,099$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 26c | 50,000$13,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,125 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 73c | 50,000$36,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,499.89 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed No | 73c | 49,999$36,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,374.86 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes | 0c | 48,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 24c | 47,884$11,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,441.29 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -7.2wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 73c | 47,307$34,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,593.36 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccd…861fbacked Yes | 2c | 47,007$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 26c | 47,001$12,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,283.93 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 73c | 46,999$34,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,525.33 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…6da1backed Yes | 24c | 45,807$10,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,829.74 | 223 | 38.1%85 W · 138 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes | 22c | 45,601$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…8314backed Yes | 0c | 45,569$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…c67fbacked Yes | 26c | 45,258$11,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,880.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 44,310$32,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,708.6 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4b…5c8dbacked Yes | 0c | 44,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 24c | 43,798$10,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,406.92 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc2…3f8cbacked No | 73c | 43,643$31,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,783.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…3721backed Yes | 6c | 43,638$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…015abacked Yes | 27c | 43,067$11,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,520.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18c…43c3backed Yes | 0c | 42,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…3c4ebacked Yes | 27c | 42,056$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fc…a05ebacked Yes | 1c | 41,961$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 0c | 41,411$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 1c | 40,857$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…2ababacked Yes | 0c | 40,800$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Yes | 24c | 40,500$9,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,720 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e15…4366backed Yes | 0c | 40,238$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…7d21backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…e818backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…298bbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +255%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…b560backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 22.6%31 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…9e4fbacked Yes | 1c | 39,794$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6599…eb96backed Yes | 0c | 38,444$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 73c | 37,999$27,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,126.85 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 73c | 37,970$27,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,111.7 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…4503backed Yes | 0c | 37,720$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed No | 73c | 37,600$27,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,022.85 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…b180backed Yes | 27c | 37,037$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 77c | 36,950$28,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,545.55 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a286backed Yes | 0c | 36,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +391.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Yes | 26c | 35,810$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…1d15backed Yes | 16c | 35,727$5,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,654.34 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 34,383$25,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,094.24 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…73cebacked Yes | 26c | 34,286$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 74c | 34,083$25,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,031.06 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 26c | 33,916$8,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,738.28 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 33,498$24,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,926.41 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…7f93backed Yes | 0c | 32,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 7cpaid | +275.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes | 16c | 31,647$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Yes | 15c | 31,413$4,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,829.28 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…fa4abacked Yes | 0c | 31,270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6f…6c5cbacked Yes | 27c | 30,247$8,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,015.41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b98…b9e0backed Yes | 0c | 29,704$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 73c | 28,804$21,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777.02 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…b683backed Yes | 27c | 28,221$7,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,549.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…37cdbacked Yes | 14c | 28,167$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.56 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…ed71backed Yes | 2c | 28,122$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 76c | 27,897$21,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,582.3 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?this page
- Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.