Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfbaae9f7587b11691c676d942f22b4ea9a9e3a68f7ca1d5d6bd4a1c967db23b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,835,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,273,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,835,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 2,854,032$108,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,981.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ad…c939backed Yes | 43c | 1,194,563$508,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508,001.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes | 0c | 1,079,976$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…e133backed Yes | 0c | 800,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 57c | 725,157$416,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308,412.1 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes | 43c | 685,307$292,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292,968.62 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 637,452$372,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265,082.22 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 60c | 623,105$376,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247,060.79 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked Yes | 40c | 520,277$210,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210,679.38 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 42c | 432,299$183,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,157.45 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 58c | 429,763$247,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182,603.71 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…c804backed Yes | 43c | 400,000$170,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 43c | 327,888$140,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,172.21 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 78c | 316,065$245,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,983.07 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 15c | 313,633$45,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,760.1 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…8a06backed Yes | 43c | 300,000$127,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,499.99 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 57c | 249,174$143,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,899.05 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 67c | 234,836$157,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,953.57 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…369fbacked Yes | 43c | 226,329$96,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,755.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 57c | 203,473$116,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,510.58 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 42c | 200,300$85,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,012.37 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…7e90backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +337%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 33c | 200,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,999.96 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 21c | 196,539$41,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,760.76 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a286backed Yes | 0c | 173,488$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +391.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Yes | 43c | 159,000$67,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,575 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 155,720$44,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,931.39 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…2ababacked Yes | 0c | 148,184$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 42c | 142,012$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…c771backed Yes | 43c | 138,908$59,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,183.33 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 40c | 123,693$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…0d8dbacked Yes | 0c | 120,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 57c | 119,999$68,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,299.63 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…d49ebacked Yes | 42c | 119,050$50,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,001 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 62c | 112,950$69,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,250.69 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 9c | 102,573$9,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,522.28 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed No | 57c | 101,178$57,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,494.56 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 42c | 100,000$42,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,350 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 57c | 99,529$56,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,558.28 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…3c4ebacked Yes | 34c | 99,148$33,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,450 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 1c | 97,987$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.2 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…e998backed Yes | 38c | 93,149$35,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,488.19 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 40c | 88,604$35,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,272.35 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…1d62backed Yes | 1c | 87,564$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 80,125$45,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,284.7 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…b560backed Yes | 0c | 80,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 22.6%31 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed No | 57c | 80,000$45,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,149.92 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 57c | 77,617$44,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,181.26 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Yes | 43c | 77,174$32,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,798.95 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 42c | 77,000$32,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,599.9 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…1f80backed Yes | 43c | 70,588$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed No | 57c | 70,245$40,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,029.54 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 46c | 69,590$31,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,680.2 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 43c | 68,918$29,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,469.6 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 58c | 67,906$39,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,827.49 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 3c | 67,607$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.82 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 0c | 67,125$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.81 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 57c | 66,498$38,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,493.9 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 45c | 66,456$29,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,650.25 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…3212backed Yes | 45c | 66,434$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…232fbacked No | 57c | 60,000$34,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,599.81 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb2…5f39backed Yes | 43c | 58,480$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 77c | 51,990$40,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,863.16 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Yes | 43c | 51,872$22,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,045.6 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked No | 67c | 50,989$33,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,076.09 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5568…9ea3backed Yes | 2c | 48,738$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 58c | 48,623$28,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,610.71 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 57c | 45,000$25,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Yes | 46c | 43,569$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 43c | 41,860$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…91f1backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fc…a05ebacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…2700backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63da…aa0dbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…78e3backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Yes | 39c | 39,501$15,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,405.2 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 43c | 39,293$16,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,699.52 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 38,110$21,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,159.41 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484e…5477backed Yes | 0c | 37,887$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20a…d592backed Yes | 0c | 37,740$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 60c | 36,953$22,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,934.65 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4d…917fbacked Yes | 0c | 36,636$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 35,507$20,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,052.85 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 42c | 35,188$14,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,941.19 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 57c | 35,000$20,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,875 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 57c | 35,000$20,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,899.96 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 58c | 34,695$19,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,721.67 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed No | 58c | 34,386$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,386.2 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf14e…9575backed Yes | 42c | 32,837$13,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,922.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Yes | 43c | 32,239$13,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,782.17 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed No | 58c | 31,974$18,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,508.86 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 66c | 31,848$21,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,796.26 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 43c | 31,554$13,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,420.02 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…416fbacked Yes | 31c | 31,469$9,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,724.07 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 58c | 31,000$17,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,174.91 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 42c | 30,943$12,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,996.06 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25e…6b77backed Yes | 43c | 30,530$13,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,127.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked No | 68c | 30,300$20,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,583.59 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?this page
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?No won
- Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.