Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51166276fa646ca50165f7d030c297138ed1d62dc41f6ffde21e962c44182074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,115,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,855,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,115,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8042…3680backed Yes | 36c | 1,941,666$701,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240,577.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 66c | 807,286$530,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530,783.9 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 32c | 659,864$209,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450,356.95 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 572,549$328,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328,060.74 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…fd56backed Yes | 32c | 468,750$150,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318,750 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 54c | 389,568$208,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208,554.96 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Yes | 32c | 377,777$119,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257,832.8 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed No | 68c | 339,998$231,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231,248.62 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 68c | 302,572$206,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206,505.21 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Yes | 33c | 300,000$98,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201,750 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked No | 68c | 291,111$198,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198,283.26 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed Yes | 46c | 235,020$106,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,046.43 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 49c | 226,571$111,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,789.03 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 164,709$71,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,719.57 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 25c | 127,813$31,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,946.17 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked No | 68c | 119,999$81,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,749.53 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 48c | 116,082$56,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,178.54 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…a178backed Yes | 40c | 105,875$41,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,009.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…4df2backed Yes | 32c | 100,000$31,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,250 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 68c | 97,237$66,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,214.45 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 32c | 96,056$30,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,246.55 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 82,398$48,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,355.97 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…3212backed Yes | 35c | 77,166$26,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,472.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 64c | 75,562$48,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,284.52 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…ba6bbacked Yes | 32c | 65,836$20,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,928.69 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…1f80backed Yes | 32c | 65,076$20,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,414.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 24c | 60,166$14,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,702.25 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f0…5355backed Yes | 32c | 56,585$18,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,478 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…a05ebacked Yes | 54c | 56,501$30,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,187.83 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 35c | 52,380$18,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,994.55 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 51,025$16,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,461.8 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf3…1dafbacked No | 69c | 50,010$34,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,256.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Yes | 32c | 46,000$14,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,509.81 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 59c | 44,860$26,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,483.16 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Yes | 51c | 42,861$22,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800.59 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3608…b13dbacked Yes | 32c | 42,385$13,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,928.07 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Yes | 33c | 40,414$13,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,092.4 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked No | 68c | 40,000$27,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,200 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 37,447$25,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,494.36 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked No | 34c | 37,223$12,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,773.35 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 68c | 37,100$25,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,042.41 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 59c | 35,791$21,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,206.21 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…62b5backed No | 68c | 35,000$23,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,800 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 34,492$23,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,450.7 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 29c | 33,381$9,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,577.94 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2511…b649backed Yes | 46c | 32,776$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,775.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 67c | 31,959$21,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,570.13 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 20c | 31,240$6,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,109.84 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Yes | 32c | 30,688$9,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,944.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 68c | 30,010$20,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,346.79 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…77c6backed Yes | 33c | 30,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,250 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +13.4wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1c…970abacked Yes | 32c | 30,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,549.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 68c | 29,999$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.63 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a29…25a8backed No | 68c | 29,800$20,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,338.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…8acbbacked Yes | 33c | 29,490$9,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,905.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 50c | 29,349$14,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,602.36 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 35c | 27,094$9,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,615.78 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…d2b1backed Yes | 78c | 25,799$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,798.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 22c | 25,364$5,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,653.18 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 68c | 25,000$17,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,062.5 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 68c | 22,000$14,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,914.95 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 32c | 21,000$6,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,227.46 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…21ccbacked Yes | 56c | 20,622$11,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,138.09 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 33c | 20,500$6,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,837.47 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…2b5bbacked Yes | 32c | 18,750$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,750 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 68c | 18,500$12,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,524.99 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…b4babacked Yes | 33c | 18,010$5,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,112.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 68c | 17,495$11,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,814.37 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 68c | 17,000$11,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,535 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…e8e5backed Yes | 32c | 16,563$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,262.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 18c | 16,556$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.8 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 68c | 16,000$10,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,909.79 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Yes | 32c | 15,748$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,748.03 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…3c4ebacked Yes | 32c | 15,748$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,748.03 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…9d51backed Yes | 32c | 15,748$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,748.03 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed No | 68c | 15,500$10,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,503.66 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed No | 51c | 15,280$7,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,772.83 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb1…08d7backed Yes | 32c | 15,261$4,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,437.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 67c | 15,000$10,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,112.32 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…1e05backed No | 69c | 14,331$9,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,817 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 68c | 14,000$9,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,463.92 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Yes | 31c | 13,757$4,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,492.31 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed No | 59c | 13,713$8,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,063.43 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 54c | 13,478$7,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,269.37 | 158 | 46.2%73 W · 85 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 13,393$9,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,039.77 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 59c | 13,331$7,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840.66 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 68c | 13,000$8,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,807.47 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…df57backed No | 59c | 12,948$7,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,639.25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…138fbacked No | 47c | 12,869$6,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,073.28 | 188 | 51.1%96 W · 92 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 43c | 12,849$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,556.21 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 32c | 12,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes | 41c | 11,727$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,918.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked No | 68c | 11,243$7,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,617.39 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4810…289abacked Yes | 33c | 11,069$3,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,459.83 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Yes | 32c | 11,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,480 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes | 41c | 10,758$4,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,347.36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fc…e4c4backed Yes | 75c | 10,270$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 10,199$6,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,427.88 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 32c | 10,156$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,906.25 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459b…f771backed Yes | 32c | 9,828$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,707.61 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?this page
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?No won
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.