TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfb13…37cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4721.3%10 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,961.56
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,000
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$3,230.16
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$5,692.31
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.59
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,357.51
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,000
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,615.38
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14,581.4
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,333.33
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,172.41
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+311.2%+$6,688.12
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$961.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$9,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,499.98
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,555.56
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,615.38
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,500
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13,230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56%+$7,410.61
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,784.05
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$9,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37.6%+$3,570.18
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+600.7%+$4,204.76
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,275Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+109.6%+$4,683.14
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$963Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$963.41
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,286.62
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,689.7
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$1,000
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,191Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$1,593.49
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,135Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+101.2%+$1,149.07
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,750
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$422.33
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$159.84
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+186.7%+$10,643.6
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+204.2%+$14,296.3
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+173.4%+$10,402.12
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,000
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14,835Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+149.3%+$22,152.15
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$8,513.51
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19,843Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$12,867.13
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,500
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,989Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$9,263.82
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.58
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$131.94
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$693.22
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$490.16
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$665.09
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,136
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$30,000
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,200
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$696
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,997Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+401.3%+$12,027.5
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,081.54
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,898.77
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,499Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$3,043.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$4,524.99
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,484.53
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,998Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$11,124.27
All 5 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,472.53
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.