Fifa International · resolved market
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0189df05ed7bf84d799213b01a79571e305c03b2ac5359cfbb3a323448ba20fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,790,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,703,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,790,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,986 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes | 2c | 6,504,712$108,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,112.98 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 2c | 4,615,632$77,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,465.78 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 2,984,535$50,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,328.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…4710backed Yes | 2c | 2,000,867$37,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,869.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,410,360$23,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,721.36 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792f…328abacked Yes | 2c | 1,206,034$21,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,708.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…4791backed Yes | 3c | 1,120,756$28,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,902.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…cd8ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,064,888$19,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,731.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 2c | 1,039,312$19,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,013.35 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 2c | 988,633$14,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,872.42 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…a4e7backed Yes | 2c | 904,927$16,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,453.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6270…9ce7backed Yes | 2c | 724,199$13,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,440 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 1c | 677,955$9,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,327.72 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…e8d4backed Yes | 2c | 674,582$13,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,672.87 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5c…9353backed Yes | 2c | 591,326$9,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,138.36 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3439…22a1backed Yes | 2c | 571,313$10,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,636.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Yes | 2c | 563,097$10,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,348.28 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 1c | 551,643$5,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,516.43 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbc…ed7cbacked Yes | 1c | 531,196$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,303 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…410ebacked Yes | 2c | 529,888$10,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,482.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +135%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…8510backed Yes | 2c | 500,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 2c | 432,651$8,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,220.36 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 1c | 431,726$5,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,775.34 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 1c | 400,000$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.01 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…29ebbacked Yes | 2c | 400,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 2c | 395,541$6,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,205.51 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…ebb5backed Yes | 2c | 379,153$7,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,962.21 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a7…3362backed Yes | 2c | 378,739$7,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,563.11 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 1c | 372,009$4,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,683.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe873…e652backed Yes | 2c | 367,380$7,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,093.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…f95bbacked Yes | 1c | 346,865$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 2c | 346,547$6,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,438.82 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 2c | 342,995$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf291…2cf2backed Yes | 1c | 339,649$5,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,046.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…a9d6backed Yes | 1c | 323,185$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,766.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e4…8048backed Yes | 2c | 321,441$5,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,316.69 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1a…c549backed Yes | 2c | 316,742$5,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes | 1c | 310,511$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.19 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6f…bdfdbacked Yes | 2c | 305,462$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 2c | 305,000$4,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,825 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…1a81backed Yes | 2c | 298,809$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.58 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…b4cebacked Yes | 1c | 295,385$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed Yes | 2c | 294,867$5,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,552.16 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…07adbacked Yes | 1c | 290,718$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,355.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…50e8backed Yes | 1c | 285,769$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…d7aabacked Yes | 2c | 282,014$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,248.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…f69cbacked Yes | 2c | 280,521$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.38 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 1c | 272,727$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb013…6b3abacked Yes | 2c | 262,507$5,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,347.42 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 256,239$4,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,183.76 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…3586backed Yes | 2c | 250,000$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 1c | 250,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Yes | 2c | 239,285$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,017 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…ba79backed Yes | 2c | 233,546$4,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,670.91 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 2c | 228,200$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,564 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x479d…d469backed Yes | 2c | 226,793$3,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,855.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 219,211$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.28 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…3f10backed Yes | 2c | 210,044$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.79 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 2c | 209,849$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.11 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked Yes | 2c | 200,442$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.64 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked Yes | 1c | 200,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…db48backed Yes | 2c | 193,158$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…5783backed Yes | 2c | 191,630$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…8db0backed Yes | 2c | 187,683$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.03 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Yes | 1c | 187,237$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.42 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Yes | 2c | 185,153$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…4c92backed Yes | 2c | 183,422$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ead…9eb9backed Yes | 2c | 181,927$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…1349backed Yes | 2c | 180,555$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.7 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes | 2c | 178,947$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…2ec3backed Yes | 2c | 174,924$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.68 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 1c | 173,948$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.96 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1c8cbacked Yes | 2c | 170,447$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 1c | 167,061$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.1 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…1a87backed Yes | 1c | 166,455$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.46 | 60 | 6.7%4 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 2c | 165,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa0…cac8backed Yes | 2c | 164,669$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.39 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…fff0backed Yes | 2c | 163,057$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.05 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…9011backed Yes | 2c | 161,909$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…4871backed Yes | 2c | 161,840$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.8 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…92cbbacked Yes | 3c | 161,636$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes | 2c | 159,091$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…15f9backed Yes | 2c | 151,919$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Yes | 2c | 151,633$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…8247backed Yes | 2c | 150,134$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafd…2964backed Yes | 2c | 150,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 1c | 150,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yes | 2c | 147,446$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.7 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes | 2c | 144,136$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce81…578ebacked Yes | 1c | 142,977$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…0777backed Yes | 2c | 142,857$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…2938backed Yes | 1c | 141,713$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.85 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…b6b8backed Yes | 2c | 137,295$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc21…c04fbacked Yes | 1c | 135,909$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…7061backed Yes | 2c | 135,667$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.46 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -85%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Yes | 2c | 134,105$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.88 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed Yes | 2c | 130,110$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…31bcbacked Yes | 2c | 128,898$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.38 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 2c | 127,623$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…e3c2backed Yes | 2c | 125,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.