TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,580,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,128,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,580,819 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfedc…6398backed Yes0c14,863,122$29,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,824.26260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes0c7,355,690$11,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,355.691529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c6,399,991$17,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,199.9832031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fae…78f1backed Yes0c4,817,274$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00090%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c4,226,475$7,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,969.4626330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes0c4,044,432$7,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,755.5310012%12 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick12cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Yes0c4,019,808$15,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,217.164436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes0c3,924,060$7,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,848.1212454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes0c3,787,010$7,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,574.0213122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681b…2f73backed Yes0c3,500,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00090%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes0c3,382,154$3,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,398.44478.5%4 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-67.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed Yes0c3,085,670$10,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,504.669723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes0c2,919,915$8,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,759.75306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x314a…80f6backed Yes0c2,821,592$5,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,643.18166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-85.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd40d…a926backed Yes0c2,693,185$11,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,440.84147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-65.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae0…b4cebacked Yes0c1,861,339$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.18248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-53.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee3e…ebb5backed Yes0c1,606,604$6,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,426.41137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-43.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c1,526,103$4,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,681.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd1…b7f5backed Yes0c1,492,748$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.2460%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes0c1,492,457$7,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,187.824524.4%11 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c1,391,982$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.6932629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes0c1,333,333$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500348.8%3 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-82.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed Yes0c1,305,218$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.225225%13 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes0c1,297,687$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8802532%8 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Yes0c1,114,349$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,604.037226.4%19 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes0c1,033,829$4,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,503.062,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes0c1,015,417$2,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,596.222512%3 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a8…e2f5backed Yes0c1,000,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Yes0c996,948$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.96147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-84.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc704…045cbacked Yes0c900,287$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes1c850,217$5,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,513.996113.1%8 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-65.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes0c797,677$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.869516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes0c775,933$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.7316225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Yes0c759,427$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660.281612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-77.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes0c702,863$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.59395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-85.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee7…6760backed Yes0c699,999$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b6…09cebacked Yes0c666,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00090%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Yes0c658,333$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10023224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38d…1ba6backed Yes0c652,295$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.59812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes0c628,554$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.91385.3%2 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes0c599,995$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9919929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x794f…3906backed Yes0c570,933$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.32119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-48.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes0c548,820$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.46719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…612abacked Yes0c529,297$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes0c500,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000494.1%2 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-60.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d66…7799backed Yes0c500,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes0c500,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d34…47c8backed Yes0c500,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30070%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a3…ee24backed Yes0c500,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes1c454,524$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.6123644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09aa…1b94backed Yes0c402,813$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x736c…bc72backed Yes0c392,867$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.7350%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…74d6backed Yes0c366,000$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8985518.2%10 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Yes0c354,375$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.727147.9%34 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes0c350,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0504027.5%11 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7818…d185backed Yes0c344,664$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.993321.2%7 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+380.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes1c336,081$2,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,578.55119.6%10 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1842…16eabacked Yes0c333,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000180%0 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd8d…1d32backed Yes0c333,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-57%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes0c333,333$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.6732029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd008…135dbacked Yes2c333,333$5,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,666.66156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-82%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f52…6f28backed Yes0c322,702$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-68.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579c…120cbacked Yes0c304,790$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.37520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes0c302,876$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.331921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-70.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes1c300,743$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.4630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes0c300,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Yes0c300,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x205b…8edfbacked Yes0c299,995$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.993710.8%4 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-56.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe666…713abacked Yes0c275,000$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes0c274,395$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.794314%6 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-71.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes0c267,332$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.37215.3%11 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-35.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes1c266,200$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.67433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6487…53c0backed Yes1c266,066$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.7460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes2c263,989$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Yes0c261,400$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.813731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd396…4991backed Yes0c260,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6402412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes0c256,775$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.5533538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a5…a887backed Yes0c250,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98dc…9949backed Yes0c241,261$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.198735.6%31 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes0c239,737$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.2427254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9629…b148backed Yes0c224,835$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.19210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x152f…a549backed Yes0c222,063$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.195712.3%7 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c210,998$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.991705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…a12bbacked Yes0c200,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008326.5%22 W · 61 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Yes0c200,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c1…a09ebacked Yes0c200,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes0c200,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-61.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fc…510dbacked Yes0c195,607$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.68244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-69.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbee3…9c77backed Yes0c187,653$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.96100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Yes0c187,420$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.845026%13 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f5…0c41backed Yes0c186,852$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.47137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick2cpaid-38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Yes0c181,637$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.911216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-77.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Yes0c180,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e25…57c7backed Yes0c177,300$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.46303.3%1 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8bf…bd58backed Yes0c175,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…904abacked Yes0c174,275$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.1230%0 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b90…8cdcbacked Yes0c166,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4beb…fcdabacked Yes0c166,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes0c166,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Yes0c166,666$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.