Fifa International · resolved market
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84edef36bded182da6a395ac6c785dba8f3e09b6c5ad041385b2042536cbef25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,233,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,566,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,233,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes | 0c | 9,999,658$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.66 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 0c | 2,999,999$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 0c | 2,999,312$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.62 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…6398backed Yes | 0c | 2,278,862$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.97 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 0c | 1,597,250$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.25 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbd…2caabacked Yes | 0c | 1,423,997$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…fc58backed Yes | 0c | 1,322,310$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.62 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Yes | 0c | 1,100,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed Yes | 0c | 1,024,000$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4766…0286backed Yes | 0c | 1,000,319$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…a549backed Yes | 0c | 1,000,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 813,051$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.71 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 777,990$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.97 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Yes | 0c | 750,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 0c | 750,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 642,066$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.25 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 555,917$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6421backed Yes | 0c | 555,734$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b3…3dc7backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes | 0c | 499,997$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 0c | 450,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 0c | 406,720$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.72 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Yes | 0c | 388,135$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.87 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf178…48a8backed Yes | 0c | 383,675$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.36 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…1263backed Yes | 0c | 378,337$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.84 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes | 0c | 369,500$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 327,580$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.73 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 322,220$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.22 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b521backed Yes | 0c | 310,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 0c | 305,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 0c | 268,480$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.44 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7230…552ebacked Yes | 0c | 260,245$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155f…660ebacked Yes | 0c | 250,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Yes | 0c | 250,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…396bbacked Yes | 0c | 225,852$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.85 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…8e38backed Yes | 0c | 205,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…4df4backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce5…b6a3backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Yes | 0c | 199,962$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 170 | 30%51 W · 119 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 154,634$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.63 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…d762backed Yes | 0c | 153,553$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.01 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…3115backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7f…f514backed Yes | 0c | 129,414$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 0c | 125,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Yes | 0c | 123,998$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…2cecbacked Yes | 0c | 110,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…3b60backed Yes | 0c | 100,714$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.43 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b11…2faebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1202…99e5backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b61…9e16backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…83cdbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a57…9299backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb0…d468backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…c057backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…40aabacked Yes | 0c | 99,984$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 96,185$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.36 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes | 0c | 95,750$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.96 | 127 | 11.8%15 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc171…aa19backed Yes | 0c | 94,298$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…eeb7backed Yes | 0c | 88,888$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acc…cfedbacked Yes | 0c | 84,845$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.69 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 0c | 82,761$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.29 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…5eedbacked Yes | 0c | 81,422$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 0c | 80,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 185 | 10.8%20 W · 165 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 0c | 79,190$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 0c | 77,380$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ae…4b60backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adc…c214backed Yes | 0c | 74,726$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd4…cda9backed Yes | 0c | 74,692$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…5199backed Yes | 0c | 73,390$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.39 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 0c | 70,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…54f7backed Yes | 0c | 69,060$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…bc64backed Yes | 0c | 67,150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…9c3cbacked Yes | 0c | 64,680$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes | 0c | 63,301$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…718dbacked Yes | 0c | 63,210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc712…6efabacked Yes | 0c | 62,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…b55fbacked Yes | 0c | 61,998$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7a…b077backed Yes | 0c | 61,988$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…fab9backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…05aebacked Yes | 0c | 59,255$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9060…790bbacked Yes | 0c | 56,540$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…abc6backed Yes | 0c | 56,500$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 0c | 55,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…871ebacked Yes | 0c | 53,225$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5b0bbacked Yes | 0c | 52,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…f6d1backed Yes | 0c | 51,202$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4146backed Yes | 0c | 51,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 145 | 12.4%18 W · 127 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…1c22backed Yes | 0c | 50,002$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…9bc6backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac6…92cabacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…45f3backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.