TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2acc…cfed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-86.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26%+$6.42
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,299.22
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.69
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$11.95
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.25
UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Zachary Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
UFC 329: Cody Durden vs. Alessandro Costa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Alessandro Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Asu Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jean Matsumoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$9.9
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vinicius Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.25
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mauricio Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jeisla Chaves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$3.95
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Alessandro Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.95
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+153.4%+$18.16
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+301.1%+$56.3
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+113%+$42.45
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+60%+$26.25
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$12.65
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF M15 Lambermont Men: Deney Wassermann vs Romain Fauconbacked Deney Wassermann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
ITF M25 Lesa Men: Maxime Janvier vs Daniele Rapagnettabacked Maxime Janvier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Cincinnati Open: Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$3.69
Cary: William Manning vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Poznan: Dalibor Svrcina vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.74
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfilsbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$5.08
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Parma: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)backed Hibernian FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+175.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+175.8%+$20.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$15.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.