UFC · resolved market
UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff8cfd8247a741a2f0c9232074c5aec553d2265f132019b0d29e1089564b1cf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ryan Gandraof Zachary Reese, Ryan Gandra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 200,000$111,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,071.83 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Zachary Reese | 44c | 158,707$69,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,831.24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Zachary Reese | 44c | 25,655$11,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,288.25 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Ryan Gandra | 57c | 12,551$7,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,430.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Zachary Reese | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Zachary Reese | 44c | 7,707$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.24 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…2095backed Zachary Reese | 44c | 6,300$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Zachary Reese | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Zachary Reese | 44c | 4,888$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.71 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ryan Gandra | 57c | 4,000$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.56 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Zachary Reese | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.95 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Zachary Reese | 43c | 3,340$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.68 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Zachary Reese | 45c | 3,196$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.07 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Zachary Reese | 44c | 2,982$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.01 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Ryan Gandra | 56c | 2,290$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.6 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Zachary Reese | 43c | 2,180$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.56 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Ryan Gandra | 55c | 1,880$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.94 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Ryan Gandra | 61c | 1,525$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.56 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Zachary Reese | 44c | 1,494$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.66 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 1,262$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.13 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Ryan Gandra | 55c | 1,250$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Zachary Reese | 44c | 1,159$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.81 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Zachary Reese | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zachary Reese | 44c | 1,106$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.64 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Ryan Gandra | 56c | 1,051$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.19 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Ryan Gandra | 57c | 1,009$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.17 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Ryan Gandra | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Zachary Reese | 43c | 986.1$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.76 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 879.34$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.91 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Zachary Reese | 44c | 804.64$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…72c1backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 779.41$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ryan Gandra | 78c | 717$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.25 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Zachary Reese | 45c | 653.93$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.27 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Ryan Gandra | 57c | 584.21$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Zachary Reese | 44c | 568$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Zachary Reese | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Ryan Gandra | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…3f10backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 491.07$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.07 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Ryan Gandra | 57c | 488.6$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Zachary Reese | 45c | 470$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Zachary Reese | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…fdd0backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 446.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7442backed Zachary Reese | 45c | 397.42$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Ryan Gandra | 56c | 383.93$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.93 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Ryan Gandra | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…dec0backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 354.21$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.85 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Ryan Gandra | 57c | 351.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Ryan Gandra | 59c | 350.58$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.82 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Zachary Reese | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Zachary Reese | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Ryan Gandra | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked Ryan Gandra | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Zachary Reese | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 291.3$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Zachary Reese | 41c | 285.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 252.48$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48d0…6ab2backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 247.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Zachary Reese | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 239.29$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Zachary Reese | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Zachary Reese | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Zachary Reese | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Zachary Reese | 45c | 210.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Zachary Reese | 41c | 209.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Zachary Reese | 45c | 205.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Ryan Gandra | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Zachary Reese | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…f1eabacked Ryan Gandra | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…77f5backed Ryan Gandra | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Ryan Gandra | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…afc3backed Zachary Reese | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…68e2backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Ryan Gandra | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Zachary Reese | 46c | 176$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Ryan Gandra | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Ryan Gandra | 56c | 170.73$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…acb0backed Ryan Gandra | 57c | 164.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked Zachary Reese | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Zachary Reese | 43c | 157.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39a…69b1backed Ryan Gandra | 57c | 153.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1d82backed Zachary Reese | 40c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Zachary Reese | 44c | 137.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Zachary Reese | 45c | 134.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Zachary Reese | 45c | 132$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Ryan Gandra | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b4…9332backed Ryan Gandra | 56c | 120.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Zachary Reese | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…f972backed Zachary Reese | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Ryan Gandra win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.