TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x034b…b22b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3070%21 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,462Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$694.41
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$64.33
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$67.46
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$29.83
Nets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,231.34
Grizzlies vs. Hawksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Magic (-12.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$233.47
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,650
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.41
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$212.68
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$525.43
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,543Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,281.36
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,732Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$488.51
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$331
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$495
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$1,000
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,206Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$3,762.67
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$330.66
Hornets vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,432.13
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,654Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,654
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$409.74
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$925
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$154.92
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$310.22
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$555
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$259.41
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$422.21
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$501.56
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$1,793.22
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,062.5
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+161.8%+$808.82
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,942Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$1,832.15
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$967.74
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$1,003.12
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,343.62
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,785.74
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,127.66
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$7,043.48
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.64
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,083
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,837Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$4,244.46
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$2,077.69
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$1,498.28
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$55.28
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$1,483.78
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$52
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$93.22
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,846.15
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,273.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,039.09
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$4,852.26
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+177.7%+$26,868.89
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,805
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$363
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,256Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+25%+$1,064
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$928.57
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,428Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$1,322.65
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,770Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$470.51
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28.19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,571Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,388.72
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$943Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$942.76
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.63
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,103.26
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,606Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,116.73
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.56
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$16.16
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,984Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,105.46
Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,676Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,676.38
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.47
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,408.16
Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-1.5)backed Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,271Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$2,958.43
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Utah State Aggiesbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,605Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$816.17
Weber State Wildcats vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$752.38
Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$722.36
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-60.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,560
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,355
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,327
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,170
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+127.3%+$496.3
Senators vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,195
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$565
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,975Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,262.7
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$4,200
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-13.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+143.9%+$846.15
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$391.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ella McDonald vs Elvina Kalievabacked Ella McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,797Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,796.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,264Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$3,136
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,860Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.8%+$555
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.