TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed No78c22,295$17,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,904.985947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes16c17,789$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,810.321,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes24c16,707$4,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,009.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes22c14,408$3,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,169.7637638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No77c14,018$10,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,224.179159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No78c13,420$10,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,989.4221143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes22c11,227$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.011,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No78c10,000$7,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.9914346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked No76c7,337$5,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.88742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes22c6,448$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.0271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes21c6,100$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28110521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No79c4,495$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9451566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked No78c4,231$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.341392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick67cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77e7…88adbacked Yes21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked No78c3,456$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.5475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No78c3,205$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.132356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes20c2,662$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.8352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No77c2,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5759355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked No77c2,415$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5551100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Yes21c2,397$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.37128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No78c1,989$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.691662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No77c1,900$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.4129949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Yes24c1,890$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c1,612$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.4587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No79c1,392$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick73cpaid-68.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed No77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.834100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes24c1,249$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.755129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No77c1,248$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.9512957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4674backed Yes22c1,081$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.28616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2303100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes21c833.5$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.043627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x912a…357bbacked No80c797.77$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes22c768.76$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8a…9fb8backed Yes23c627.26$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9de…b193backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Yes24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ce…dc3cbacked Yes21c600$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes18c560$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.83938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f32…0af7backed Yes21c480$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes20c442.09$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.222060%12 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2b7…0ed5backed Yes14c399.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ab…8d29backed Yes22c386$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7d…7a79backed No80c282$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes21c264.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4135037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked No77c260$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.745151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes21c250.03$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.512157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed No79c250$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed No78c238.46$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c38…3d15backed Yes24c233.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes18c227.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.961520%3 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50ff…b0e6backed No77c227.27$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.27580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No80c225$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453070%21 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No79c219.88$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.585745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No76c216$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8417756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…f691backed Yes6c211.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes23c209$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0715455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed No79c203.21$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.215100%5 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.93616.7%6 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bbf…b0eebacked Yes25c196$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No76c184$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1611556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.52552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes18c149.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1613016.2%21 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No76c144$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.569158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No76c144$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.568460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef65…f32fbacked No80c125.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.69560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes20c115.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.093333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc913…488bbacked Yes18c114.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No77c113.64$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.143154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed No77c113.64$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked No80c111.38$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick77cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes21c107.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe261…08e3backed Yes14c107.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.851241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed1…d1a5backed No78c102.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0748…9f6ebacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No76c96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.049354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No76c96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.048355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No76c96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0410653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No76c96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.048355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No76c96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.048755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No76c96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0410556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No76c96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.049355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No76c96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0410756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No76c96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.047452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc7…ff41backed No77c90.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed No77c90.74$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Yes21c90$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb6a…0665backed Yes23c88.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x410a…0060backed Yes24c88.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x007f…fb6cbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.