TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c23,465$5,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,921.8987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes26c22,108$5,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,728.5471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked No75c20,992$15,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,270.7514100%14 W · 0 L+4.4wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No74c18,120$13,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,637.644940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No74c16,940$12,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,404.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes13c11,348$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.941,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No74c7,700$5,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0025040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes21c7,659$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.411,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c6,978$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.0352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No74c6,044$4,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.812842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed No75c5,340$4,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3353767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Yes26c4,081$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.063050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77e7…88adbacked Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No75c3,951$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.753450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Yes26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No75c3,536$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.091656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes25c3,116$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed No75c1,647$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes25c1,474$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.5620150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Yes26c1,413$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.381020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes25c1,230$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.517329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No74c1,215$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.99355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3483…2c80backed No74c1,202$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…29ffbacked Yes26c1,193$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes26c1,105$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.695129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked No74c988.48$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cb4…f89dbacked No74c950$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No77c694.63$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.583860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes26c512$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4615455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes29c432.76$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes23c404.48$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1235037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfba…9398backed No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10433148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f9…0f1bbacked Yes26c369.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No74c350$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9111250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No75c320.42$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2114045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No74c235$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.117043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bcb…374bbacked Yes26c230.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82b…5b3dbacked No79c190.06$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.06366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No74c135.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1326550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.587100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes25c130$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63d0…1a1abacked Yes25c126.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x039a…b09dbacked Yes20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b7…0ed5backed Yes25c102.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3222340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2518245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No75c99.89$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4710855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202528%7 W · 18 L-5.9wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdb6a…0665backed Yes26c76.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No75c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.759752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Yes25c69.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7214057.1%80 W · 60 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes25c64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169346.2%43 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…e914backed No75c63.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.761844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed No72c62.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.231450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes23c62.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.344148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No75c62.15$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.799467%63 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Yes33c61.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No75c59.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.144537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5786…c49dbacked Yes25c58.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4674backed Yes29c58.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.06616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf98b…e149backed Yes24c51.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d83…8eb4backed No80c50.79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.227100%7 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No75c50.03$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6320454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe0…e3e0backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b8d…b0dcbacked Yes25c49.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.26425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Yes25c48.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Yes24c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.522429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Yes24c46.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112520%5 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No75c45.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.279661.5%59 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…fe3ebacked Yes24c44.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb60…8019backed Yes25c41.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes26c40.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No74c40.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2929949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No75c40.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1010960.6%66 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.610960.6%66 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ba…089fbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd50f…4034backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeccd…d68abacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16d3…426ebacked Yes28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2164…fcd4backed No75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked No75c25.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.263060%18 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No75c25.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.39767%65 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5de…a312backed No76c22.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked No76c21.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…3851backed No77c20.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.724100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No74c20.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.281457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5f9…9aefbacked No77c17.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca7…8410backed No77c17.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+173.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.