Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff78086bf542e2b13fcfa25c5762472528bfaddd3410a18eb10a44695fa68fbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,722,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,899,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,722,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 851 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0039…6bebbacked No | 50c | 2,992,410$1,488,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488,742.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Yes | 50c | 660,000$330,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 50c | 504,838$253,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251,163.04 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…bf16backed Yes | 52c | 312,000$162,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,759.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 53c | 247,907$131,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,516.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 50c | 243,972$121,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,973.57 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Yes | 50c | 161,376$80,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,687.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 55c | 131,243$72,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,243.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 51c | 102,000$51,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,100 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed No | 46c | 73,731$33,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,916.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 48c | 69,489$33,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,354.92 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 67,487$34,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,597.28 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 58,501$35,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,345.02 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 57,860$29,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,574.36 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 50c | 57,753$28,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,842.3 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 55c | 49,012$26,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,090.54 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 69c | 48,340$33,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,209.8 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 51c | 34,578$17,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,885.69 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 57c | 30,816$17,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,394.95 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked No | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 47c | 30,000$14,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,151.47 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked No | 50c | 29,999$14,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 50c | 27,339$13,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,585.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 45c | 24,733$11,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,590.97 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 52c | 23,337$12,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,117.63 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Yes | 50c | 22,457$11,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,228.5 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 70c | 19,079$13,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,708.44 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 18,911$8,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,368.31 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 51c | 16,765$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,214.96 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 50c | 13,702$6,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,851 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked No | 46c | 12,172$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 46c | 11,787$5,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,422.01 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 53c | 10,955$5,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 51c | 10,314$5,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,053.72 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…29c8backed No | 44c | 10,301$4,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 50c | 8,605$4,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,302.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…642fbacked Yes | 55c | 7,444$4,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Yes | 50c | 6,600$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Yes | 50c | 6,200$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked No | 49c | 6,102$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.99 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 41c | 5,953$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.54 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed No | 47c | 5,600$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 46c | 5,550$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Yes | 67c | 4,725$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…39a2backed Yes | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 52c | 4,368$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.03 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked No | 45c | 4,292$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 51c | 4,210$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.89 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 46c | 4,171$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.31 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…5e52backed Yes | 55c | 4,165$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Yes | 50c | 4,082$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e7…88adbacked Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.75 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…7178backed No | 1c | 3,833$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes | 56c | 3,547$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 51c | 3,427$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.45 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 54c | 3,236$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.46 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 53c | 3,208$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.55 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 52c | 2,925$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 6c | 2,900$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 56c | 2,777$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…2034backed Yes | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 50c | 2,452$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Yes | 50c | 2,376$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 55c | 2,359$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 58c | 2,348$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 78c | 2,180$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.65 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 51c | 2,169$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 16c | 2,101$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.87 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.05 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.98 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…f879backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed No | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 43c | 1,882$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.1 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 46c | 1,851$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…4f89backed Yes | 53c | 1,809$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 56c | 1,798$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.04 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…bff2backed Yes | 74c | 1,782$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 78c | 1,724$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.31 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 50c | 1,521$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.