TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9963…32e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST3036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+40.5%+$151.17
Dubai Tennis Championships: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Bublikbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+267.3%+$11,033.74
Chile Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Ignacio Busebacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$131
Dubai Tennis Championships: Zizou Bergs vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,034Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,116.5
Dubai Tennis Championships: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,296.75
Chile Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$390
Dubai Tennis Championships: Stan Wawrinka vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$168
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensikbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,525Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+143.9%+$7,951.03
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$746.56
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14,659.04
Qatar Open: Jesper de Jong vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$405
Qatar Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Quentin Halysbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$240
New Delhi: David Jorda Sanchis vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sanchis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.91
Rio Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+122.2%+$74.64
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Liudmila Samsonova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,562Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$1,988
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Ella Seidel vs Cristina Bucsabacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$823.2
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$4,200
Qatar Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+63.3%+$15.72
Rotterdam Open: Alexander Bublik vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$594
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$870
Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,571Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$2,571.24
Rotterdam Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$318.82
Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jaume Munarbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,184.3
Dallas Open: Tommy Paul vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$807Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$806.6
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodarbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+93%+$957.4
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$87.22
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$77.87
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+37%+$33.64
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,359Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+138%+$6,015.91
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,068
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5,800
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$9,062Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+137.3%+$12,437.36
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$507.61
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13,499.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick43cpaid+81.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,876Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,724
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+150%+$5,999.99
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,019Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$1,420.8
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$9,507Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+57.7%+$5,488.3
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$291.2
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,031Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+205.3%+$6,223.47
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,120.27
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+284.6%+$739.96
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,676Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,486.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,497.15
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,698Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,250.82
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$52.16
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.57
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,064Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+31.3%+$645.89
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$594.82
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$743.77
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$342.43
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$880
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$953.16
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$812.37
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$143.93
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$8,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$8,727.55
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$120.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,659.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$8,159.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.