Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb50caf326e23c4b644a11ef9e16ea9c211fbc0a16b89577c5d33efcb0db16ef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Hawkeyesof Northwestern Wildcats, Iowa Hawkeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4951…7f87backed Northwestern Wildcats | 8c | 19,289$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 16c | 5,239$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Northwestern Wildcats | 13c | 1,584$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.99 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Northwestern Wildcats | 10c | 1,520$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.97 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northwestern Wildcats | 12c | 1,439$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.81 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 16c | 1,300$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 77c | 1,127$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.29 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Northwestern Wildcats | 16c | 1,036$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.37 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Northwestern Wildcats | 12c | 1,019$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.57 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 10c | 804.87$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Northwestern Wildcats | 11c | 739.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Northwestern Wildcats | 4c | 511.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Northwestern Wildcats | 12c | 483.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 15c | 397.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 12c | 375.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 32c | 303.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northwestern Wildcats | 7c | 302.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Northwestern Wildcats | 26c | 254$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbce…c3b4backed Northwestern Wildcats | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…a4fcbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +124%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Northwestern Wildcats | 11c | 198.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 12c | 193$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Northwestern Wildcats | 8c | 188.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northwestern Wildcats | 14c | 180.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Northwestern Wildcats | 7c | 167.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed Northwestern Wildcats | 11c | 156.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…2ee5backed Northwestern Wildcats | 27c | 132.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northwestern Wildcats | 12c | 130.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 14c | 121.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Northwestern Wildcats | 11c | 114$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 56c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 11c | 100.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 12c | 100.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 95.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 14c | 71.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Northwestern Wildcats | 25c | 68.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyesthis page
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5Over won
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 139.5Over won
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-10.5)Northwestern Wildcats won
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-11.5)Northwestern Wildcats won
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-12.5)Northwestern Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.