TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$500,672
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$611,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,672 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No68c87,914$59,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,132.523450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes36c37,954$13,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,661.6114740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes32c36,985$11,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,835.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c20,783$13,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,315.971,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes35c17,133$5,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,965.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes36c16,437$5,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,858.2111242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No65c15,837$10,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,570.4643344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c15,598$11,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,453.143,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes33c15,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,950540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+57.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Yes33c13,661$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,439.761643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No67c11,804$7,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,895.363452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.991353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes33c9,198$3,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,02338247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Yes35c8,550$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,992.52040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No66c7,819$5,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.864955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No67c7,222$4,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.232560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No64c7,192$4,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+76.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No67c6,200$4,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0461172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20c…bf55backed Yes0c5,493$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.251040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No66c5,174$3,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.8355545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No65c5,030$3,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.461668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7504533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.986858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes21c3,795$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Yes35c3,711$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2993354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes14c3,540$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.266119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No66c3,449$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.0513149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No66c3,333$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.214551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0805545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0807143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed No67c2,470$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c2,297$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.5691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x252e…9539backed No66c2,015$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…f2c7backed Yes34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes16c1,959$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.353839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes32c1,875$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No64c1,780$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.579054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes58c1,624$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No64c1,555$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.671450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed No67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked Yes34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.061136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…5e1dbacked Yes9c1,467$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes13c1,284$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes16c1,275$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006929%20 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Yes33c1,243$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.372035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes33c1,184$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.71030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a16…1050backed Yes35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes16c1,048$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-75.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes15c1,045$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.879222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x777f…0fc4backed Yes1c1,031$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes32c1,004$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes12c1,003$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3603148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3103354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35012336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes33c999.92$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.974537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed No44c913.39$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.55343.4%23 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes35c900$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No74c893.25$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.68639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6867…f8d2backed Yes34c883.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes27c819.38$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes28c814.39$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251520%3 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes10c803.04$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.85123.5%12 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2889148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes3c798.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.145729.8%17 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes5c765.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8476941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c765.24$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.4984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes32c762.59$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.031942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes14c749.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.61020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed No67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.271030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Yes35c735.94$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes36c702.39$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadc4…314cbacked Yes35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes13c643$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.774353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ddf…884ebacked No63c640$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed No66c639.39$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.391154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf074…9164backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No66c577.57$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5633349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes15c574.01$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf904…85ecbacked Yes13c568.79$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes36c555.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2787…1c83backed Yes33c545.45$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No65c544.5$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2825157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15518049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed No40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18088048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes31c499.96$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.999142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes35c497.14$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Yes25c474.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No65c459.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.214647.8%22 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes34c445.07$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.328949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Yes34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes35c420$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1472825%7 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes26c412.5$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0497…c5e3backed Yes12c402.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.421428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb313…f17bbacked Yes37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.