TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x14f7…232c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 62 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT180%0 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,179.19
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,044.6
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$691.02
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$882.41
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$943.98
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,990.31
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.8
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.88
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.35
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.62
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.83
Will Solana reach $130 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$337
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+215.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+441.4%+$2,082.07
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+806.7%+$6,291.87
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$88.89
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,629Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+815.4%+$13,283.89
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+900%+$4,500
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+43.8%+$54.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Will Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.26
Will Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.69
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,048.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+163.2%+$1,305.03
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$499.75
Will Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$350
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$929
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+112.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.38
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$833
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$573
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$190
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.3
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.88
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+81.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$800
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$159.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.