TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,094 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes33c31,000$10,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,2303348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c16,021$10,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,287.0598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes32c10,301$3,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,296.2868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No69c6,518$4,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes29c5,295$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d30…ce29backed Yes56c5,000$2,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,782.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No68c4,703$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.954971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No67c3,375$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.7511153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No44c2,896$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.874959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes8c2,556$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0616838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No67c2,536$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.541854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes33c1,894$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.061827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes2c1,862$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-43.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c1,718$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.222,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No67c1,121$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9337250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33f…3e82backed Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x876f…4f66backed No68c723$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.377100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No67c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23116251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes20c670$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13416032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes10c599.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No80c563.12$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.852748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb7f…cc74backed No68c544$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5a…9f79backed No68c536$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes33c523.81$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8626040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cc6…d951backed No68c485$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.25100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes33c465$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.381833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc0a…f786backed No68c447$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.04560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No44c399.5$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x740d…7362backed Yes33c377.88$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c04…9f30backed Yes33c367.11$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb26…5e0abacked No68c355$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca56…14b9backed Yes33c345.85$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes10c318.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6815259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1525…62dcbacked Yes33c308.56$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes21c306.58$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6312035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+31.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Yes7c294.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.594136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes33c286.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.633951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x389f…6079backed Yes33c286.42$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes33c260$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.88058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes32c249.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes33c238$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.543828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed No68c224.63$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.88966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No67c220.93$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.683638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No67c209.57$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1646047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes10c206$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes11c199.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No67c185.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3826046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No68c183$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.563754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes33c175.61$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.951729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5545…4fc5backed Yes11c174.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa6…c8f7backed No68c165$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce82…6340backed No68c160$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e64…5137backed No68c156$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Yes33c151.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4447…cc47backed No68c151.1$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ea…429ebacked No68c151$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1b3…6542backed No68c146$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe4…6640backed No68c140$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82db…f178backed No68c136$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes20c135.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6351139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a4…3095backed No68c135.08$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes60c133.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.231573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5043…84b5backed No68c133.06$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fa…19f2backed No68c132$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.243100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No67c131.75$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4838547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e5…878abacked No68c125$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa0…4c98backed No68c121$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd3…5dfabacked No68c120.31$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cad…235fbacked No68c118$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30244.2%1 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick18cpaid-85.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x955e…10c9backed No68c114.65$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389f…afbcbacked No68c113.74$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdc…3632backed No68c112.13$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x720f…6984backed No68c112$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016d…7f42backed No68c110.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb52e…4d08backed No68c109.88$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes33c109.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ae1…d271backed No68c107.03$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x531a…27e7backed No68c106$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda97…b61ebacked No68c103$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf204…6734backed No68c100.73$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117439.2%29 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x217d…737ebacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes18c98.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.984725.5%12 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+58.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd53e…88f6backed No68c97.94$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3747…2c49backed No68c95.52$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53e…1aa3backed Yes33c93.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x065e…e1a5backed No68c92.96$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa2…c092backed No68c91.65$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.42475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes33c91.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes33c88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.043426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaaca…c634backed Yes33c87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.711442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.211144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.