TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$516,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,169 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa96c…a59cbacked Yes27c91,395$24,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,959.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No75c85,493$64,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,373.3140447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No75c84,443$63,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,1119350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes9c52,285$4,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,565.622,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes25c29,972$7,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,432.7996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c18,960$4,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,739.9468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No75c15,000$11,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7505550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No73c14,515$10,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,917.2933148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c12,076$3,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,070.5498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No73c7,000$5,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8901154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c6,468$4,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.6193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Yes25c3,354$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No72c3,333$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.247444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes26c3,211$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.0226040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Yes25c3,167$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.32560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+86.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8104040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed No76c2,782$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.91553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c2,628$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.8941854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No75c2,356$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.8916838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No74c2,159$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.3437250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No72c2,083$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.3333357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed No75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.066357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…09c5backed Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes5c1,521$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9912731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes26c1,485$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.338042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes29c1,400$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4066442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes27c1,323$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.133828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes26c1,302$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.9810940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes2c1,200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2615623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd222…6441backed No76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x170f…095bbacked Yes2c1,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick20cpaid-39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes7c890.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9814553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes4c885.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8424238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No75c877.33$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.333026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes10c686.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4951139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes11c671.44$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No73c644.66$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0613550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1626145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6db4…91e2backed No76c593$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No73c547$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.694725.5%12 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+58.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102737%10 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12042347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa538…d3b0backed Yes25c485.69$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No74c480$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.89456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes26c465$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.61833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7142…e23ebacked Yes24c456.32$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes25c449.06$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No76c422.83$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.974136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes4c419.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7923345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No75c419.3$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.398752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa041…f9d5backed No76c409$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864f…5c71backed Yes24c405.32$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+31.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc398…056dbacked Yes24c323.94$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed No73c320.48$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.53837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes26c307.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes18c303.25$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.59520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes23c303.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8125556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8128556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes26c288.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9d…ad44backed Yes24c261.25$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No73c250$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.512048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No77c249.93$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.984353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No74c249.35$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.223638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes25c243$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.759353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed No75c236.31$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.31650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+52.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No73c230$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.116851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes26c192.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6204…bf74backed Yes6c190.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes25c184.66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.411150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x322d…37febacked No77c184.33$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da7…17aabacked Yes26c180.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…b570backed No76c180.55$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-34.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No73c180$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.611655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No73c180$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.612253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b78…0eb8backed No77c175.51$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.374100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+127.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes26c175.4$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.61729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked Yes11c171.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.045918.6%11 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No75c166.66$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6610353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ff7…4176backed Yes26c161$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc880…d360backed No77c157.12$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x826c…1468backed No76c156.21$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No73c154.23$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402a…bf33backed Yes25c154$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.612347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed No75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.528458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2b…750cbacked No76c148.93$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes12c146.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3623244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9c…f5acbacked No77c145.65$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d4…a59fbacked Yes26c140$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.147568%51 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.