TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$513,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,716 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes42c174,295$73,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,093.659350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked No58c139,322$80,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,806.358743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No58c60,300$34,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,973.996346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes42c15,285$6,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,865.5240447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed No21c14,915$3,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,075.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes42c11,905$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,905.094070%28 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes57c10,433$5,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,455.9896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes59c10,227$6,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,148.018139.5%32 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8d…b0e1backed Yes42c9,522$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,522.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No57c8,772$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No58c8,404$4,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,872.4168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No59c8,000$4,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,719.7121058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes42c7,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0605550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c6,363$3,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,723.0598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No56c6,014$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.0720544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No58c6,000$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4802744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffec…7a8bbacked Yes42c6,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4802100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Yes68c5,882$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes44c5,832$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,280.128042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No58c5,647$3,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,275.263345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes45c5,482$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.727345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No46c5,325$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.5146742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe848…cfc4backed No10c5,091$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No51c3,478$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.5620431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No48c3,333$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.9831051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No10c3,054$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.094463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c2,527$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.3648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No28c2,474$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.4416838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No10c2,170$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8634643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No10c1,907$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.615259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes42c1,866$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.148342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes70c1,771$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.632360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes41c1,547$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.7337250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No56c1,389$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.1641854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes41c1,235$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.184837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Yes72c1,180$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes48c1,153$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.188752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes45c1,102$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.636357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Yes67c1,073$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.232755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No31c1,066$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.464725.5%12 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+58.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c1,046$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.7235646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No28c1,018$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.3831738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c9…a644backed Yes72c999.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes43c880$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.633951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes78c879.65$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.694959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked No32c820$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.25131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a21…4342backed Yes42c805.24$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes42c800$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.087749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes42c754.94$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.3840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes42c754.76$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.764641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No43c697.66$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.3824238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes42c642.83$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.843828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes42c600$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35112049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No35c573.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No29c529.49$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked No58c517.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.311837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28542347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb2…fea3backed Yes41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Yes42c477.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.631250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.19837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes49c471.38$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.663240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes45c465.86$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.4944753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes41c465$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.441833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed No29c462.07$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1343033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes44c456.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.61553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23215844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes44c395.45$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.451330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No53c383.8$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3952748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Yes46c380.41$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.421822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed No34c378.56$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes41c372.47$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.812035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed No5c358.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.241118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick13cpaid-38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3313553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaded…a79abacked No10c321.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes42c300.44$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17121445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.096043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes43c300$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.629353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No11c299.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335918.6%11 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No13c291.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.547742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes79c276.72$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.443259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No60c272$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0223345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a6…378cbacked No57c258$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9055…1f0cbacked No57c254.39$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Yes67c250$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.52673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ee0…6b74backed Yes44c245.68$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes44c232.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.453228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc948…314bbacked Yes44c225.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5206…7bd0backed No58c225.06$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes67c208.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dbc…d333backed No57c205.63$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes42c202.92$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8510353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1189045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed No56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes43c196.6$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0626046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.