TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x217d…737e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT8354.2%45 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinskibacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Cincinnati Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.86
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.04
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$31.41
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.85
Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Max Dahlinbacked Jamie Mackenzie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.48
Milan: Juan Martin vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked David Jorda Sanchis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cattolica: Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Carlo Alberto Caniato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutetbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.12
Ilkley: Billy Harris vs Clement Chidekhbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+150.6%+$334.63
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Little Rock: Michael Mmoh vs Justin Boulaisbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.63
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.59
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.21
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.13
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.98
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set Handicap: Navone (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)backed Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Julius Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Christian Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.2
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Michael Aswell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Karol Rosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.91
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.16
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$101.67
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Alonzo Menifield win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+346.6%+$43.33
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kai Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.99
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$67.17
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.11
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$52.2
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Baisangur Susurkaev win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$12.02
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.62
Will Joe Pyfer win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+241.8%+$193.46
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Julian Erosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Terrance McKinney win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$90
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$42.95
Will Ignacio Bahamondes win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.35
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Gabriella Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+115.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$14.02
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$24.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.