La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63bd6f63d8dc506af7f6ed506abc785d12ea87148274f7c230efb2673cc45b0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,941 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa792…5353backed Over | 70c | 5,013$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 3,016$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.77 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 1,610$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.79 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 30c | 1,438$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.24 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 27c | 1,041$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.88 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 75c | 720$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 68c | 475$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8226…e35fbacked Over | 76c | 378.95$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 67c | 373$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 74c | 349.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 24c | 349.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 69c | 304.35$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…ff0dbacked Over | 76c | 280$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 30c | 224.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 68c | 197.06$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01a…b014backed Over | 77c | 189.43$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 30c | 173.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e2…dc8fbacked Over | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Over | 68c | 125.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…737ebacked Under | 12c | 90.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over | 68c | 82.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 70c | 71.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…d09cbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 32c | 64.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 76c | 64.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f84…6c38backed Under | 32c | 56.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4626…d40bbacked Over | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 31c | 32.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…db7bbacked Over | 70c | 22.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 69c | 19.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 67c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…5bdcbacked Over | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.