TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fb4…68c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 59 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3083.3%25 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$2.99
Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$7.18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$24.51
Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.71
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$66.84
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28%+$13.99
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$21.15
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$12.23
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.88
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+30.9%+$30.59
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$75
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.18
Real Zaragoza vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.52
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.2%+$4.42
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.4%+$31.4
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$21.45
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38%+$22.79
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
FC Barcelona vs. FC København: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moreirense FC vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+48.3%+$13.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$12.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.