Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-01-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9eb39417ca73ac4bb4c0e2b9e0a7e87f4e485abb60de4a47252bf1546389c2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Yes | 45c | 100,211$44,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,925.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 45,449$25,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,277.7 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 49c | 24,000$11,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,759.97 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 20,047$11,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,031.95 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 19,994$11,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,988.9 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 51c | 18,220$9,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,927.61 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 6,723$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.84 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 5,533$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.89 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 45c | 4,865$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked No | 51c | 4,700$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 58c | 4,304$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 2,637$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.99 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Yes | 48c | 2,164$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 55c | 1,987$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.21 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed No | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 41c | 1,777$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.65 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 55c | 1,609$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.1 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 55c | 1,394$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.56 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 62c | 1,184$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.17 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 37c | 1,100$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 981.03$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.46 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 858.66$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.99 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 54c | 714.51$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.91 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 34c | 591.74$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.19 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 35c | 553.62$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 55c | 496.98$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.98 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 57c | 399.53$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.85 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 49c | 398.08$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 43c | 350$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed No | 55c | 252$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed No | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 36c | 231.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4016backed Yes | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 35c | 185.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed No | 55c | 180.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cf52backed No | 56c | 177.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 35c | 161.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 36c | 155.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 39c | 149.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 36c | 130.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 48c | 127$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…b3fdbacked No | 56c | 109$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Yes | 45c | 101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 30c | 100.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…cd58backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0a…6b9fbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 45c | 99.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 56c | 97.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 49c | 96.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 54c | 81.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 49c | 70.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked No | 76c | 70.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed No | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…133dbacked Yes | 42c | 67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…de14backed Yes | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea4…2effbacked Yes | 23c | 55.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…fd20backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…12acbacked Yes | 36c | 54.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 53.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 44c | 53.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed No | 55c | 52.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacb…175ebacked No | 51c | 51.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…b6fabacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Yes | 53c | 45.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf65c…d280backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-01-30?this page
- Will 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SC Preußen Münster end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-01-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.