TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbea4…2eff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: AI, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category AI at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-63.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$201.03
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100.66
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$52.33
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$43.1
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14.33
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$84.13
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$23.57
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.31
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$177.55
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+55.1%+$22.84
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+80.1%+$20.07
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$26.72
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$37.61
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+148.3%+$21.22
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$37.18
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16.97
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.91
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+30.3%+$12.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+250.4%+$99.3
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+35.2%+$19.77
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$28.51
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.36
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.45
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wright State Raiders vs. Milwaukee Panthersbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Green Bay Phoenixbacked Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Youngstown State Penguinsbacked IU Indy Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$35.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+177.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+455.2%+$1,098.44
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$511.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,250.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+2,250.5%+$450.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.