Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83d07cb282dc7ef522d69203213a51f8ad2eff1172f38489fddeedc423ebb2dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $560,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $597,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $560,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Yes | 49c | 204,614$100,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,569.85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 5c | 75,714$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.34 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 38,103$17,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,359.98 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 31,008$16,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,155.54 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 51c | 29,609$15,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,100.75 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 24,444$12,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,270.26 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 19,578$10,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,061.27 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked No | 0c | 17,969$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 51c | 12,452$6,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,350.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 52c | 10,712$5,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,570.21 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.14 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 53c | 8,755$4,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,670.64 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 7,865$4,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,138.67 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 31c | 7,614$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.92 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 6,013$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.31 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…4564backed No | 53c | 6,000$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 5,164$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.53 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 49c | 5,100$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.97 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 52c | 4,525$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 79c | 4,244$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.25 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.32 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 55c | 3,961$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.07 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 52c | 3,729$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.08 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 48c | 3,415$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.84 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 51c | 3,346$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.3 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…cd55backed No | 51c | 2,800$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 53c | 2,327$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.68 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 53c | 2,216$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.32 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 51c | 2,171$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.14 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed No | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…2d43backed No | 52c | 2,018$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23f…3239backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 52c | 1,561$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.78 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…ac13backed Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 48c | 1,388$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 1,371$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.86 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 48c | 1,252$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.08 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 48c | 1,173$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.96 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 46c | 1,150$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 47c | 1,134$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.1 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 44c | 1,090$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.69 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 56c | 1,010$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.3 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…940bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0315…5eb3backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 51c | 986.56$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.15 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 73c | 983.36$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 46c | 908.12$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.38 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Yes | 74c | 900$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 47c | 880$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.4 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 47c | 856$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.73 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 26c | 848.22$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…84d1backed No | 54c | 800$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed No | 4c | 765.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 51c | 757.5$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.33 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked No | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 73c | 657$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.39 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 51c | 622.7$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.58 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 51c | 580.68$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.32 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 53c | 484.62$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 52c | 478.85$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 51c | 450$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 51c | 450$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 51c | 450$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…7fdabacked Yes | 73c | 450$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…8908backed No | 28c | 430$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked No | 6c | 375.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 52c | 366.9$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.79 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 51c | 360$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bd…b290backed No | 56c | 354.19$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…3190backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 47c | 335.26$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.26 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 44c | 325$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…cb95backed No | 53c | 304.91$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 49c | 300.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.52 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7c6bbacked Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-30?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.