Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf07ca2672264fe58e009e8196c8d40c1767bdd2aca7fc0e77bdc31c8550ead0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Yes | 28c | 10,714$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 10,273$7,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.99 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Yes | 28c | 9,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 7,276$5,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.73 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 7,251$5,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.38 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 6,349$4,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.13 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 73c | 5,096$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.98 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 27c | 4,349$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +66%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes | 6c | 2,829$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 4c | 2,218$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 73c | 1,600$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.33 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,571$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 73c | 1,359$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.48 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 72c | 1,332$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,269$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.26 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 28c | 1,251$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.21 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 29c | 1,228$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 30c | 1,163$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.83 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 27c | 1,125$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.76 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 27c | 1,087$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 11c | 1,047$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 27c | 923$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.21 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 9c | 911.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…ea70backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes | 32c | 754.59$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…c78bbacked No | 74c | 680$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Yes | 6c | 662.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 649.5$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.21 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 602.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed No | 72c | 527.78$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 73c | 480.3$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Yes | 28c | 420.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 73c | 409$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 19c | 400$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…84d1backed Yes | 28c | 400$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Yes | 7c | 370$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…f23dbacked Yes | 9c | 366.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 25c | 350$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 27c | 333.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 73c | 322.7$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 72c | 306$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 74c | 300$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 300$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yes | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 25c | 295.24$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Yes | 31c | 293.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked No | 69c | 282$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…b3fdbacked Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 16c | 238.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 14c | 217.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 30c | 210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes | 18c | 209.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 29c | 192.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 188$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…f0c1backed Yes | 28c | 182.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6c…1bfabacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…9499backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 21c | 147.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked No | 72c | 146.75$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…b4dcbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 135.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…f0c9backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 26c | 98.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Yes | 16c | 94.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 27c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…f4ffbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 27c | 69.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…ff28backed No | 74c | 60.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a4…21c4backed No | 73c | 60.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes | 27c | 54.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 72c | 50.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-30?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.