TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc4fd…9499

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST5022%11 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$107.99
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$17.5
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+163.2%+$161.19
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$77.7
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$109.2
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49.05
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$66
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.9
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.19
Bucks vs. Celticsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$182.36
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$40
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$101.99
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$339.33
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$228.29
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$332.59
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$187.8
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$80.58
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.56
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX PRIDE vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Kick-off Group Bbacked LUA Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$39.41
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$144.78
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$64.8
LoL: ZennIT vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$34.33
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+205.3%+$134.5
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Play-Inbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+59.9%+$615.97
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Play-Inbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$163.8
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.21
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$66.67
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$56.41
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+37%+$55.48
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+53.8%+$107.69
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$620
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+104.1%+$312.24
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+87.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+150.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$25.6
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+59.5%+$130.96
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+62.3%+$124.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ostrava Open: Caty McNally vs Tereza Martincovabacked McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$14.7
Ostrava Open: Rebecca Sramkova vs Vendula Valdmannovabacked Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$43.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+62%+$93.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+27.1%+$52.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$12.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$119.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 4)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$322.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs strongboys (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$198.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.