TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa383…a2f0backed No0c49,780$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7817537.1%65 W · 110 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No64c30,065$19,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,241.749748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes35c20,011$7,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,912.91,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes38c15,028$5,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,307.9990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Yes36c11,111$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,111.111060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No13c10,751$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.054,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c9,263$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.81777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed No65c9,231$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No64c6,117$3,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,915.088041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes34c6,004$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,962.618243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No65c4,554$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9605950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed No65c3,609$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.851631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-42%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes58c3,435$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.618461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked No42c3,333$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.863740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.945735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Yes35c2,857$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.141145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.9838729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No27c1,427$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.331,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes63c1,100$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4121435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No66c1,020$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.3164046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked No65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.151741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No66c999.98$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.997851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No64c975.32$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.5442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes60c944.14$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37922335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No39c871.79$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34021641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes35c863.08$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.922,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes35c795$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.7535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No66c742.42$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No66c695.61$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed No67c680$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.62661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No65c604.99$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.2915049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes35c568.67$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.6328055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3203441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f8…5486backed No2c479.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed No65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes36c423.59$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.121626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26022746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No70c399.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28031745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed No65c390$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes35c376$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.6283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes35c374.19$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.9920452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked No38c319.32$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.343938.5%15 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-43%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes35c312$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.7353242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…baf6backed No65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955961%36 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed No38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007851.3%40 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba27…1e9ebacked No38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked No65c249$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes61c227.44$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.77534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed No66c227.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked No59c213.37$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes35c207.77$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0511037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12810233.3%34 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No38c192.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.848537.6%32 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No46c192.32$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8955941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes34c173.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7832145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Yes36c166.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.672853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fd…9499backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+150.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a19…3f51backed No39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9869…1032backed No65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f46…cddbbacked No65c153.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid+44.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Yes35c152.45$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.093455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef65…f32fbacked No66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002755.6%15 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5dc2…4837backed No66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9912255.7%68 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked No40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No64c149.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.52846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes46c148.68$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2849057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bb1…0f73backed Yes35c143$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes63c142.64$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.434158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes36c141.67$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6711137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c140$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ef…10ebbacked No41c140$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.41145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.895050%25 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No66c138.18$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.29158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x795f…1871backed No37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed No38c134.45$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.094146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed No39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505056%28 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes30c123.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.114131.7%13 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4557…bf49backed Yes53c122.66$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.661060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed No65c120.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.163652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked No66c120$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.211559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No13c110$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33030%9 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed No65c109.94$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4614850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked No65c100.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3812727.6%35 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No40c93.84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.319533.7%32 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe43f…61a8backed No41c91.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-55.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba79…e944backed Yes35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7114250.7%72 W · 70 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed No25c82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.432250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Yes30c81.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.188543.5%37 W · 48 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6a3…7943backed Yes64c81.28$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.261546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8cae…b135backed No66c81.06$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No25c80.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80a9…ad8bbacked No39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed No65c76.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.