La Liga · resolved market
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f607df916ce83d93ee6213426f419eff04da4d2e64c09d9098e3ca70f94e91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 7,066$5,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.7 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 6,310$4,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.31 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 5c | 4,958$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.72 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Yes | 30c | 4,909$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.97 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 68c | 4,412$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.76 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,637$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.66 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 68c | 2,444$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 26c | 1,791$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.77 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 14c | 1,400$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.57 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 68c | 1,104$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 33c | 1,045$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…de48backed Yes | 33c | 831$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 33c | 321.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed No | 68c | 211.67$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab6f…067bbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 156.93$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Yes | 31c | 136.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…46bbbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Yes | 33c | 87.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 69c | 86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 68c | 79.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 31c | 71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…bb75backed Yes | 18c | 70.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe789…6a1cbacked Yes | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde33…1496backed Yes | 31c | 64.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…1417backed Yes | 32c | 61.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e22…6f48backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 26c | 58.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 68c | 58.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 74c | 57.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 32c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 69c | 36.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 69c | 30.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 68c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 28.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed No | 68c | 25.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 68c | 18.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 68c | 17.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…5486backed No | 77c | 16.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?this page
- Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.