TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xacce…ce8a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT4753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.82
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.43
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.71
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.11
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.92
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.04
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.29
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$110
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.32
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.57
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.24
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.47
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$33.98
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.44
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30.17
Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+83.1%+$15.65
Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$146.88
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27.38
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25.13
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+150%+$40.19
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22.55
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$90.5
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+113.5%+$61.86
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.84
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$32.13
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.97
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.34
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.95
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$49.55
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45.55
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$24.84
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+193%+$75.04
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.65
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.3
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+143.9%+$59.24
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$58.72
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$44.01
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.58
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.99
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$210.45
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.89
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+387.3%+$971.99
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.39
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$77.61
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$26.61
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.41
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.63
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.15
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+47.4%+$20.48
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$47.5
Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+191.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+191.7%+$138.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$17.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40%+$39.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kennesaw State Owlsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.