NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1baa77ef635cce4601052383356f0fd9977ef81a774a382e4ee1aa8dbd8c8c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,647 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 53c | 90,243$47,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,794.69 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 47c | 57,295$26,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,462.61 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 51c | 29,514$14,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,925.88 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 54c | 24,621$13,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,249.25 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 50c | 21,925$11,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,867.08 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Over | 46c | 18,612$8,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,050.48 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 52c | 6,080$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.2 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 48c | 5,288$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 47c | 4,763$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.39 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 47c | 3,823$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.03 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Under | 54c | 3,421$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.73 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 48c | 3,000$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 2,573$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.36 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 2,298$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Over | 51c | 1,784$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.31 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 1,623$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 1,425$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.07 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 46c | 1,191$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.46 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 1,100$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.25 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 1,006$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.29 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 53c | 943.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 53c | 943.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 823.09$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.31 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 745$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 49c | 653.06$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.06 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 47c | 600$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 589.32$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 53c | 505.05$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.68 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 66c | 473.27$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.91 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 418.44$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.77 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 46c | 386.47$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.54 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 47c | 299.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.69 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 52c | 281.05$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.14 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Under | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 54c | 249.17$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 218.71$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Over | 45c | 208.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 45c | 198.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 188.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.45 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 47c | 186.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 173.19$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.17 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 42c | 170.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 47c | 164.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 21c | 142.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 42c | 130.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 52c | 118.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 107.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 62c | 96.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 47c | 93.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 92.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 42c | 81.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 48c | 70.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Over | 49c | 68.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Over | 45c | 63.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c69…2e8bbacked Over | 45c | 55.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 60c | 50.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 45c | 48.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 52c | 44.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 45c | 43.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 43.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…3e7abacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 53c | 37.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Under | 52c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…9d6bbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 54c | 36.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 68c | 35.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 31c | 33.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c37…ad47backed Over | 76c | 27.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…396cbacked Under | 52c | 27.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…55f2backed Over | 47c | 25.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 41c | 24.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Over | 53c | 23.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 47c | 23.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…8de2backed Under | 52c | 22.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Under | 52c | 21.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Grizzlies won
- Trail Blazers vs. GrizzliesTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.