NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98c0cd29dcb823c0df4d12fe889cf44feddb630fac6572ef91932187b721c719
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Trail Blazers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,578 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 41,928$19,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,605.85 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Grizzlies | 46c | 37,026$16,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,095.97 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Grizzlies | 49c | 34,693$16,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,829.97 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 18,262$9,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,596.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 15,314$8,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,882 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 15,016$7,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,662.09 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 10,014$5,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,243.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 9,600$4,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,051.54 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 7,527$3,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.75 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 6,508$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 6,263$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.11 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 5,502$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 5,259$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.54 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 3,720$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.4 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Grizzlies | 44c | 3,679$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.24 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 2,587$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 2,439$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.02 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 2,379$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.86 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,942$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.7 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,851$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.57 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,694$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.77 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,527$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…8a0fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,258$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.33 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.05 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 925.99$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.78 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 910.62$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.63 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 832.99$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.48 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…4b29backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 762$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…458ebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 741$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 719.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 705.64$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.16 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…75e4backed Grizzlies | 50c | 692$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff3f…96fcbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 618$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 48c | 598.6$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…c3f8backed Grizzlies | 50c | 569$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Grizzlies | 47c | 565.34$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.63 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 557.61$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.82 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Grizzlies | 48c | 555.8$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.02 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Grizzlies | 47c | 551.06$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.06 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 442.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.92 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 425.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3269…d6cfbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 376$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 375$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d5…1232backed Grizzlies | 47c | 327.66$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 276$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Grizzlies | 43c | 272.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.45 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 265.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 207.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Grizzlies | 49c | 203.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 200.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Grizzlies | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 191.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a2…0a6abacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 46c | 173.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 171.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Grizzlies | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Grizzlies | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Grizzlies | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 143.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Grizzlies | 49c | 118.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Grizzlies | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Grizzlies | 44c | 109.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Grizzlies | 47c | 109.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 106.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 162 | 30.9%50 W · 112 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb9…9dbabacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 77.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…f6c3backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Grizzlies | 60c | 66.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…373fbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 54.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Grizzlies | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Grizzlies | 47c | 52.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Grizzlies | 43c | 52.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 50.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Grizzlies | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 45.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 44.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 40.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 37.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed Grizzlies | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Grizzlies | 47c | 36.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Grizzlies won
- Trail Blazers vs. GrizzliesTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.