NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c0b357776b543e45cf8cdf1dcde6a16551a669bf4975f99133f65d71e618cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,869 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 40,854$17,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,806.46 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Grizzlies | 44c | 17,353$7,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,576.92 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Grizzlies | 45c | 16,194$7,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,287.29 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 9,802$5,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.91 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 7,638$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.99 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 7,564$4,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.31 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 6,903$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.12 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…09c5backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 1,924$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.51 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,589$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.31 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 1,502$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.77 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 1,310$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.29 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Grizzlies | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…1dbcbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 1,101$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.45 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Grizzlies | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…19f8backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 901$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 898.58$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.36 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Grizzlies | 47c | 817.39$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.17 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 774.95$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…478ebacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 635.68$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.7 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 630.17$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.97 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 629.92$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.63 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Grizzlies | 41c | 576$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.16 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Grizzlies | 45c | 551.04$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.3 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 547.17$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.17 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 519.95$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.78 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 505.41$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.41 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 462$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 419.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 409.75$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 380.2$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.39 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 368.83$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.04 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 360$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 352.14$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…0314backed Grizzlies | 39c | 349.9$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.46 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Grizzlies | 44c | 313$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.72 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trail Blazers | 59c | 303.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Grizzlies | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Grizzlies | 40c | 292.68$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.07 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 287.18$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Grizzlies | 41c | 261.31$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Grizzlies | 42c | 259.13$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…1015backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 256.32$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 47c | 237.46$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2ea0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 236.76$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Grizzlies | 21c | 218.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…8c31backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 210.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Grizzlies | 45c | 210$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…3fb3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 204.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 192.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 188.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…787dbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 185.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Grizzlies | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Grizzlies | 43c | 175.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Grizzlies | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Grizzlies | 44c | 166.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Grizzlies | 44c | 162.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 153.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 148.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Grizzlies | 43c | 143.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 135.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Grizzlies | 42c | 129.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 127$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…3706backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 120.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…34b9backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 117.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…9f0dbacked Trail Blazers | 61c | 111.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 105.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 103.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 102.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Trail Blazers | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 99.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 94.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 94.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Grizzlies | 58c | 85.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Grizzlies | 32c | 85.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Grizzlies won
- Trail Blazers vs. GrizzliesTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.