NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f65a296b39940e05c7fbb0e479716f1115c4c3b13b344d29c629c49d39439a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,051 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 30,750$15,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,375 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over | 55c | 9,024$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.06 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 5,800$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 5,254$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 2,961$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.19 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Over | 50c | 2,345$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.5 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 1,577$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 69c | 1,397$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Under | 43c | 1,005$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.1 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 849.99$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.5 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 50c | 640.68$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.34 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 50c | 344.47$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.24 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 49c | 288$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 56c | 257$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 247$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.32 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 46c | 241.61$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed Under | 50c | 171.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…c1ebbacked Over | 68c | 147.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 50c | 101.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Under | 50c | 78.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 63c | 74.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 56c | 64.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 62c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 31c | 56.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…311dbacked Under | 36c | 42.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…02bcbacked Under | 50c | 40.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 50c | 39.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6b01backed Over | 69c | 36.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccd…1c5ebacked Over | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Over | 79c | 34.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…b8efbacked Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 20.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Grizzlies won
- Trail Blazers vs. GrizzliesTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.