TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under57c5,951$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.4143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c5,751$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,567.914,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under52c5,586$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.387750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Under54c3,692$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.8762652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a87…bce2backed Under65c3,056$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.481070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Over43c3,020$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.5821143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Under72c2,806$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.878429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over40c2,674$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.073,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over43c2,671$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.521,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c2,538$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Over46c2,397$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.6211243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Over47c2,118$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.264742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9401,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over26c1,817$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.721,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c1,667$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over41c1,657$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.7840243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Over49c1,342$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.518448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c1,330$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.54,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under47c1,201$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.352,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Over44c1,129$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.7421250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4c…57acbacked Under73c1,003$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.981978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91ac…891ebacked Over50c990$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Under51c989.99$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.0934855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under60c960$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38411159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadd1…aa2bbacked Under50c936$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c883$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.011,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacce…ce8abacked Over2c878.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.574753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d54…eeb7backed Under50c769$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over38c759.23$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.513,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x969a…6ec5backed Over50c757$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over38c755.17$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.341,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fbd…4118backed Over50c654$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd148…0afcbacked Under50c620$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9213547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23016148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under54c443.72$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.7226048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over25c433.62$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.42,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over46c426.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4262744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over47c426.45$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7617644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over46c423.91$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19534854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under64c413.56$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.311,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Over47c390.48$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5310251%52 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under58c344$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.451,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over42c337.76$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8645646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over33c302.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.321,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14461747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1293,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under64c290.44$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3617243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under54c273.09$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6220638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over43c271.79$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.035,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over24c222.87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4565542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over29c218$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.642,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over47c211.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5887453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Over48c211$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.285754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed Under77c210$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.373040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6659…4b69backed Under72c200$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.88332.5%27 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over44c178.83$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.933,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over41c173$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9356547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under40c165.87$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5252230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over25c158.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9110028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Over49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under56c139.85$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over47c133.69$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1912552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over44c119.41$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c107.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.852,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under46c102$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0867921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3e7…a322backed Under59c101.72$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.726157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over51c100.19$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1945653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3712747.2%60 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4515953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Under66c95.29$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6520762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Under66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9124358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Over42c86.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2835843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Over14c80.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2114636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under51c79.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1937549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d9…f6babacked Under50c76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over43c75.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.642,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under64c75.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.323,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6de…6f5ebacked Under69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.462119%4 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-72.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Under69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.466355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under58c70.96$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.081,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2c6…988abacked Under67c68.85$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.851957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Under60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6714059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over19c65.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over28c65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1537665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Under65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5422347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb8…536fbacked Under66c58.82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Under54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5625753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under57c51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.931,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under52c50.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.421,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155152.9%27 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over54c48.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.072,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over39c47.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.621,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over44c45.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Under56c44.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9116150.9%82 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7262…c2f1backed Under67c44.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.562875%21 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under53c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5723350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.