NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc39abde401584fe87a38dd48f821b35211b4480128ddb369646e84702e53ad5

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Grizzliesof Trail Blazers, Grizzlies
Resolved: Mar 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $387,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,852 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies	50c	82,377$41,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,188.31	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Trail Blazers	50c	61,219$30,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,600	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Grizzlies	52c	49,348$25,661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,687.02	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Grizzlies	52c	49,000$25,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,520	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Trail Blazers	48c	26,177$12,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,564.9	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Grizzlies	52c	23,977$12,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,477.09	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Trail Blazers	48c	20,272$9,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,704.43	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Trail Blazers	48c	20,254$9,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,722	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers	55c	18,769$10,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,232.74	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Grizzlies	45c	18,414$8,286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,127.7	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Trail Blazers	55c	15,116$8,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,378	114	57.9%66 W · 48 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers	49c	13,330$6,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,535.54	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Trail Blazers	49c	10,186$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,899.97	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Trail Blazers	48c	9,650$4,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,632	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Trail Blazers	50c	9,215$4,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,607.5	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies	51c	9,113$4,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,466.5	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers	50c	7,956$3,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,960.2	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers	50c	5,466$2,718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,718.44	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Trail Blazers	49c	5,245$2,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,570.04	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Grizzlies	47c	5,186$2,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,748.58	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Trail Blazers	48c	4,635$2,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,224.8	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers	48c	4,166$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.68	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies	51c	4,086$2,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,009.08	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Grizzlies	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,959.99	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Grizzlies	52c	3,850$2,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,848	83	61.4%51 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies	45c	3,829$1,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,108.82	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers	50c	3,736$1,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,868.19	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8de7…f96dbacked Trail Blazers	1c	3,500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Trail Blazers	53c	3,200$1,696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,696	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Grizzlies	46c	3,189$1,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,722.13	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Trail Blazers	48c	3,090$1,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,483	230	52.6%121 W · 109 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies	48c	2,718$1,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410.63	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers	49c	2,450$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.49	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Trail Blazers	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Trail Blazers	49c	2,062$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.99	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers	48c	2,043$981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.67	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Grizzlies	45c	2,000$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Trail Blazers	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	93	43%40 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Grizzlies	46c	1,982$918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.73	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Trail Blazers	48c	1,980$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.4	221	43%95 W · 126 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Trail Blazers	54c	1,740$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.6	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Trail Blazers	49c	1,641$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.09	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Grizzlies	52c	1,595$823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772.56	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Trail Blazers	48c	1,210$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.98	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Grizzlies	52c	1,200$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Trail Blazers	54c	1,155$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.48	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Grizzlies	48c	1,041$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.32	170	50%85 W · 85 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers	46c	1,026$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.48	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Trail Blazers	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	240	50.8%122 W · 118 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies	50c	1,016$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.84	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Grizzlies	51c	999.98$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.99	456	47.1%215 W · 241 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies	45c	976.79$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.23	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Grizzlies	51c	888.95$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.22	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Trail Blazers	50c	858.38$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.19	238	50%119 W · 119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Trail Blazers	49c	816.33$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers	48c	691.83$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.15	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers	48c	628.06$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.47	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Trail Blazers	49c	556.99$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.93	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Grizzlies	53c	490$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.3	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers	49c	489.48$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.39	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Trail Blazers	50c	401.92$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Grizzlies	46c	397.6$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.6	260	44.6%116 W · 144 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Trail Blazers	49c	339.04$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.13	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked Grizzlies	46c	326.09$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.09	117	54.7%64 W · 53 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Grizzlies	46c	326.09$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.09	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Trail Blazers	49c	306.21$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Grizzlies	51c	292.49$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.32	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Grizzlies	48c	267.59$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.15	206	38.3%79 W · 127 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27e…3575backed Grizzlies	45c	265.09$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.09	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Grizzlies	53c	253.95$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.13	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Grizzlies	53c	245$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.15	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Trail Blazers	49c	240.55$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.87	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Grizzlies	52c	235.26$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.37	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Grizzlies	52c	232.44$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.57	343	42.9%147 W · 196 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Trail Blazers	49c	199.98$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.99	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Grizzlies	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	296	46.6%138 W · 158 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Grizzlies	46c	185.18$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Trail Blazers	50c	184.78$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.31	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Trail Blazers	46c	179.74$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.05	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers	47c	175$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.25	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers	48c	150.97$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.85	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers	49c	143$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.07	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Trail Blazers	50c	140$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	-8.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Grizzlies	53c	128.3$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.3	231	43.3%100 W · 131 L	-13.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Grizzlies	45c	109.99$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.49	143	34.3%49 W · 94 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Trail Blazers	51c	109.52$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.88	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Grizzlies	52c	105.33$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.66	362	47.5%172 W · 190 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Trail Blazers	54c	105$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.7	161	50.9%82 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Grizzlies	53c	104.38$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.06	221	48%106 W · 115 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Trail Blazers	54c	100.5$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.27	125	38.4%48 W · 77 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Trail Blazers	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	131	54.2%71 W · 60 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Grizzlies	53c	98$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.2	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Grizzlies	49c	93.14$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.44	171	53.2%91 W · 80 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Trail Blazers	50c	91.91$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.95	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Grizzlies	50c	79.56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.84	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Grizzlies	47c	74.47$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.47	377	55.7%210 W · 167 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Trail Blazers	56c	70.16$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.29	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)this page
1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Grizzlies won
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 19.5No won
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
GG Jackson II: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Jerami Grant: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Santi Aldama: Points O/U 11.5No won
Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Grizzlies won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Trail Blazers vs. GrizzliesTrail Blazers won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event