TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,409,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,409,334 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,049 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies23c344,452$80,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,020.4787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Grizzlies24c229,165$55,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,999.543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Grizzlies26c97,994$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Trail Blazers77c64,114$49,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,746.111653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed Trail Blazers76c63,330$48,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,908.492548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Grizzlies24c58,842$13,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,952.5917050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers76c56,677$42,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,722.562,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Grizzlies24c50,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.9948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers77c48,519$37,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,252.644,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Trail Blazers76c42,950$32,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,262.656657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers76c38,146$29,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,145.891,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Grizzlies24c36,551$8,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,772.2425546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Trail Blazers76c35,000$26,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,40017646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Grizzlies2c32,206$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.5626637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Grizzlies22c31,456$6,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,920.2819957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Trail Blazers76c30,042$22,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,210.0392753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Trail Blazers76c30,000$22,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers76c27,573$20,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Trail Blazers76c26,400$20,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3365251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Grizzlies17c26,376$4,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,369.9319136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Grizzlies0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Trail Blazers78c24,156$18,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,309.171,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies23c23,945$5,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,487.7847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Trail Blazers76c20,472$15,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,913.2524942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Grizzlies24c20,399$4,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,946.486333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Trail Blazers76c20,123$15,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,810.9516146%74 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Trail Blazers73c20,000$14,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,404.8377348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Trail Blazers78c18,000$14,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,879.971,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Trail Blazers76c17,600$13,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,22431644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers75c17,533$13,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,335.424,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers75c17,266$13,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,264.534,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Trail Blazers76c16,938$12,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,067.4526842.9%115 W · 153 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1a…5abfbacked Trail Blazers79c16,672$13,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,501.093946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Grizzlies13c15,829$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers70c15,691$10,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,713.133,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Trail Blazers78c15,000$11,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2508944.9%40 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Grizzlies18c14,636$2,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.348230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Trail Blazers73c14,447$10,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,927.7829250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Trail Blazers68c14,122$9,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,460.76841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Trail Blazers76c13,841$10,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,261.4847856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Grizzlies22c12,314$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709.141,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Trail Blazers76c12,230$9,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.266848.5%33 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Trail Blazers71c12,192$8,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,525.262,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x646e…3b1dbacked Grizzlies23c12,000$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,807.956023.3%14 W · 46 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Trail Blazers74c11,144$8,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.6348956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x175e…49b4backed Grizzlies27c11,111$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Grizzlies6c10,876$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.551,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Trail Blazers77c10,081$7,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.3785248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Trail Blazers77c10,027$7,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.293455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Grizzlies1c9,990$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.925213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Trail Blazers75c9,392$7,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.8514738.1%56 W · 91 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Grizzlies27c9,100$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4578441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Trail Blazers73c9,099$6,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.845444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Trail Blazers76c9,061$6,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.73941%16 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Grizzlies12c8,968$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.7562144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Grizzlies27c8,444$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3006126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Trail Blazers75c8,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8495…aed6backed Trail Blazers74c7,780$5,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac3…5a50backed Grizzlies22c7,657$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.82911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-69.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Trail Blazers74c7,431$5,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.086357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers76c7,182$5,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.133,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Trail Blazers76c6,367$4,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.532,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Grizzlies16c6,351$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.6232039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Trail Blazers77c6,101$4,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.146358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies24c6,002$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.451,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Trail Blazers76c6,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4408052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Grizzlies24c6,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4409330.1%28 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked Trail Blazers79c6,000$4,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.248555.3%47 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Trail Blazers76c6,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4409343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Grizzlies24c6,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.996943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed Trail Blazers77c5,852$4,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.963450%17 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Trail Blazers76c5,662$4,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.8221937%81 W · 138 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Grizzlies22c5,500$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21013642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Trail Blazers72c5,389$3,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.9351354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Grizzlies8c5,335$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.348352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Trail Blazers78c5,097$3,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.2752460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5265…8184backed Grizzlies0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154932.7%16 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Grizzlies25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25025947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Trail Blazers80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00022159.7%132 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9943348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Grizzlies24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9847043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies0c4,855$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.258820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108b…ecdabacked Grizzlies26c4,823$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.472740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Trail Blazers78c4,764$3,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.4132540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Trail Blazers80c4,666$3,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.9327865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc4c…444cbacked Grizzlies23c4,495$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0506440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies1c4,450$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.51,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Grizzlies43c4,303$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.2172241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Trail Blazers79c4,269$3,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.131345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Grizzlies26c4,225$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.2162347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers77c4,162$3,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.672,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Grizzlies3c4,100$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.43179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Trail Blazers78c4,020$3,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.414663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Trail Blazers78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Trail Blazers76c4,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e2…8a7abacked Trail Blazers75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2e…e6adbacked Trail Blazers73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies23c3,952$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.024,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0858…612ebacked Trail Blazers74c3,901$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.751668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.