NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb18a05dbab1f887fba17ce806b8b4947acdf5f3025f4f0a4b41d889709e8ebb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,181 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 55c | 16,850$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,609.45 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 47c | 15,776$7,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,366.05 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 6,177$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.91 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 46c | 6,080$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.05 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…fc35backed Over | 49c | 5,085$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 49c | 3,884$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.59 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 2,898$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 2,529$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 47c | 2,058$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.71 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Over | 49c | 1,366$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.34 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 1,023$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 42c | 832.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.85 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 56c | 576.63$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.77 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 552.41$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 58c | 480.08$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.92 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Over | 42c | 476$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 405.8$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.24 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked Under | 56c | 364.19$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 57c | 351.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 344$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 46c | 339.68$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.25 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 48c | 256.25$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 52c | 229.71$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 62c | 225.25$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 33c | 205.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 45c | 197.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed Over | 44c | 186.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…e589backed Over | 44c | 177.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 58c | 147.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…4b69backed Over | 51c | 140$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 43c | 117.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Under | 55c | 92.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 54c | 84.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 46c | 77.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 72c | 71.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 65.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Under | 58c | 59.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c37…ad47backed Over | 64c | 56.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 48c | 52.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd506…4f0ebacked Under | 79c | 52.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 28c | 52.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 51.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 58c | 50.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 46c | 47.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 38c | 46.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 53c | 45.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 54c | 37.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Under | 52c | 35.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Under | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 53c | 34.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 33.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 72c | 32.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 49c | 20.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Under | 50c | 20.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed Under | 50c | 20.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 79c | 17.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Grizzlies won
- Trail Blazers vs. GrizzliesTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.