NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x370130cac07a83e182653e098d76e6d652223eb1e3bfe96457f9f998205c6f04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,990 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 7,930$3,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,134.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…4c8abacked Under | 50c | 5,400$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 55c | 3,745$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.74 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 3,697$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 52c | 3,394$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 47c | 3,380$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.7 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d116backed Under | 51c | 2,656$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 1,458$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 50c | 1,165$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.46 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 1,114$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.82 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 51c | 952.94$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 763.3$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.84 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 50c | 714$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 47c | 707.36$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.9 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 514.2$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.04 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c8…9349backed Over | 50c | 401.94$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 51c | 392.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Under | 50c | 377.78$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 48c | 254.04$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 202.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 55c | 187$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5287…ca51backed Under | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 157.93$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Under | 55c | 133.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.39 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 124.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 43c | 99.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 88.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 50c | 81.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 54c | 52.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 57c | 51.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 37c | 48.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 41.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…22debacked Over | 45c | 38.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 38.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Over | 47c | 34.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Over | 45c | 28.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 50c | 28.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f3…2749backed Under | 55c | 20.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Under | 58c | 19.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb907…a54abacked Under | 55c | 18.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Grizzlies won
- Trail Blazers vs. GrizzliesTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.