NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7e046de934729ddb04c8833e3914bf69173e0bf6485eb31027c00abd3381031

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Grizzliesof Trail Blazers, Grizzlies
Resolved: Mar 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $135,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,926 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies	54c	82,733$44,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,057.19	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers	46c	44,259$20,359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,359.14	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Trail Blazers	46c	26,514$12,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,146.16	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Trail Blazers	52c	9,429$4,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,873	114	57.9%66 W · 48 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Trail Blazers	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies	51c	4,000$2,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,965.24	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies	55c	4,000$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Grizzlies	51c	3,680$1,877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,803.41	170	50%85 W · 85 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Trail Blazers	46c	3,261$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies	55c	2,220$1,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Grizzlies	50c	2,020$1,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,010	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Trail Blazers	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd306…ac40backed Trail Blazers	46c	1,890$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$868.97	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies	50c	1,813$903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$909.66	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers	50c	1,685$839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.37	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies	54c	1,340$724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.4	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Grizzlies	55c	1,322$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.26	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers	46c	1,300$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Trail Blazers	45c	1,129$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.53	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Grizzlies	50c	1,000$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.21	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Trail Blazers	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	144	48.6%70 W · 74 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Trail Blazers	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	239	38.1%91 W · 148 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Trail Blazers	49c	980.1$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.25	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Trail Blazers	44c	946.01$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.24	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Trail Blazers	7c	699.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	302	24.8%75 W · 227 L	+15.5wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Trail Blazers	44c	680.51$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.43	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers	45c	666.66$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Trail Blazers	49c	653.06$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Grizzlies	53c	646.16$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.69	131	28.2%37 W · 94 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Grizzlies	52c	560.11$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.28	206	38.3%79 W · 127 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Trail Blazers	47c	515.3$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.19	126	45.2%57 W · 69 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies	77c	417.1$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.17	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Grizzlies	49c	400$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	958	48.7%467 W · 491 L	+24.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5ec0backed Grizzlies	56c	400$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Trail Blazers	50c	394.8$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.4	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d4c…57acbacked Grizzlies	61c	394.18$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.05	19	78.9%15 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.12per pick	67cpaid	+22%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers	50c	382.54$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.31	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2be…fa51backed Grizzlies	56c	366.46$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.24	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers	48c	351.79$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.75	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Trail Blazers	49c	350$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.5	287	51.9%149 W · 138 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Grizzlies	63c	340$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.2	448	21.4%96 W · 352 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Trail Blazers	46c	340$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.4	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers	49c	335.64$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.47	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Trail Blazers	38c	333.48$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.68	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Trail Blazers	48c	309.19$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.91	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Grizzlies	71c	304.83$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.48	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Trail Blazers	39c	298.51$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.72	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Trail Blazers	47c	287.4$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.08	114	59.6%68 W · 46 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Grizzlies	56c	238.34$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.48	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Grizzlies	55c	222.23$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.92	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Grizzlies	50c	222$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111	143	34.3%49 W · 94 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Trail Blazers	42c	209.13$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.63	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Trail Blazers	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Grizzlies	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Trail Blazers	45c	185.18$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.33	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies	52c	182.88$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.29	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Grizzlies	78c	140$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.98	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa596…ce69backed Grizzlies	62c	123.21$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.09	97	64.9%63 W · 34 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Grizzlies	50c	120$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Grizzlies	62c	117$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.78	172	43%74 W · 98 L	-12.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies	55c	110.29$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.94	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7b…9825backed Grizzlies	50c	110$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+4.8wins	+0.21per pick	57cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers	43c	101.69$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.45	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Grizzlies	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Grizzlies	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed Grizzlies	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Grizzlies	55c	95$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.75	140	46.4%65 W · 75 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Trail Blazers	45c	88.89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	199	50.8%101 W · 98 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers	45c	87.08$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.19	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Trail Blazers	29c	86.47$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.95	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Grizzlies	59c	85.71$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.27	456	53.5%244 W · 212 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Grizzlies	51c	79.8$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.11	218	54.6%119 W · 99 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Trail Blazers	46c	75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Grizzlies	55c	66$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.7	239	50.6%121 W · 118 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Trail Blazers	51c	60.78$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4bf…c71ebacked Grizzlies	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Trail Blazers	45c	59.83$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.93	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5dd…5a9fbacked Grizzlies	64c	58.36$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.01	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5dc…dec3backed Grizzlies	51c	57.96$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.4	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Grizzlies	56c	57.55$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.32	343	42.9%147 W · 196 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Trail Blazers	49c	54.88$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.89	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x534d…627cbacked Grizzlies	63c	51.98$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.45	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Grizzlies	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	267	57.3%153 W · 114 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Trail Blazers	50c	48.93$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.35	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Grizzlies	68c	48.39$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.48	90	47.8%43 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Trail Blazers	47c	48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Trail Blazers	48c	44.58$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.62	342	48.8%167 W · 175 L	+12.5wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Trail Blazers	45c	44.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Grizzlies	50c	43.46$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.73	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Trail Blazers	37c	43.24$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…4408backed Grizzlies	50c	43$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+4.0wins	+0.14per pick	55cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Grizzlies	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	373	44.2%165 W · 208 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Grizzlies	51c	39$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.11	672	48.8%328 W · 344 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Grizzlies	66c	39$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.26	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	-7.1wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Trail Blazers	39c	38.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	244	9.4%23 W · 221 L	-27.5wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2079…c5c7backed Grizzlies	54c	36.7$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.7	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0338…6562backed Grizzlies	56c	36.68$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.21	148	47.3%70 W · 78 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Grizzlies	55c	36.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.3	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Trail Blazers	38c	36.05$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)this page
1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Grizzlies won
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 19.5No won
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
GG Jackson II: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Jerami Grant: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Santi Aldama: Points O/U 11.5No won
Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Grizzlies won
Trail Blazers vs. GrizzliesTrail Blazers won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event