TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2079…c5c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Weather, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT5547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$10.01
Ducks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.36
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.96
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Kings vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$16.78
Sharks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$5.93
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.98
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$13.08
Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$19.66
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$15.99
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$12.6
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30.03
Predators vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+59.2%+$12.87
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.42
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100.4%+$10.63
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.53
Hurricanes vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$14.21
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.9%+$9.1
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39.83
Islanders vs. Kingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.64
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Spread: Heat (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$7.36
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.25
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$27.46
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$13.84
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+83.5%+$16.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.23
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+219.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+219.2%+$27.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta United FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$19.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.